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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU12 · 10 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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10th
0-2-4 record · 6 played
0.33 points per game
-17 goal diff · 3–20
DLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.7
+0.32 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon
10th · 0.33 PPG
at
Sting Pre- Girau
9th · 0.43 PPG

Railroad Park , Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.9 against · 0.69 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Pre- FalconSting Pre- Girau
Position10th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-2-40-3-4
Points per game0.330.43
Goals for / game0.50.7
Goals against / game3.31.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)L D L L DD L L L D
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–6 at SOLAR PRE- ADAMES0–3 vs OK Energy FC Pre I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.76-0.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.32+0.40

Common opponents: West Side Alliance Pre Gold — we 1–4; they 1–2. DKSC Pre- Zaldivar — we 0–4; they 2–2. OK Energy FC Pre I — we 0–4; they 0–3. Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock — we 1–1; they 0–1. SOLAR PRE- ADAMES — we 0–6; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 vs DKSC Pre- Zaldivar, 0–4 vs OK Energy FC Pre I, 0–6 at SOLAR PRE- ADAMES.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Railroad Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Sting Pre- Girau sit 9th on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above Sting Pre- Girau on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Girau game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon – Sting Pre- Girau) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.29 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Win
0.71 PPG
8th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 2 9th▲ up 1
Draw
0.43 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Loss
0.29 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 80%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 1.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 OK Energy FC Pre I 2.75 (+2.42) 1st (2.75) 20 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 DKSC Pre- Zaldivar 2.60 (+2.27) 2nd (2.35) 19 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 West Side Alliance Pre Gold 2.00 (+1.67) 3rd (1.80) 14 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 SOLAR PRE- ADAMES 1.67 (+1.34) 4th (1.52) 12 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock 1.33 (+1.00) 6th (1.32) 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren 1.29 (+0.96) 5th (1.34) 9 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 SOLAR PRE- BATES 0.83 (+0.50) 7th (1.04) 5 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Sting Pre- Prokof 0.67 (+0.34) 8th (0.71) A point next game
9 Sting Pre- Girau 0.43 (+0.10) 9th (0.64) A point next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon to Sting Pre- Girau through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
6 even
16 favour them
-1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–0 0–4 3–0 1–4 2–1 0–4 2–2 0–6 1–1 1–1 1–1 4–0 2–0 2–0 1–1 0–2 2–1 0–0 2–1 FC Dallas Youth Pre… 10th Dallas Texans Pre- … 5th OK Energy FC Pre I 1st West Side Alliance … 3rd DKSC Pre- Zaldivar 2nd SOLAR PRE- ADAMES 4th Sting Pre- Prokof 8th SOLAR PRE- BATES 7th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 6th Sting Pre- Girau 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.27 · 7th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:30 PM
Sting Pre- Girau
9th · 0-3-4 · GD -7
Away
Railroad Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
0–1 0.69 0.38 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:15 PM
SOLAR PRE- BATES
7th · 1-2-3 · GD +0
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
12%
0–2 0.54 0.40 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 OK Energy FC Pre I 8710 182+16 222.75 DWWWW -0.30 — 100% 1.0
2 DKSC Pre- Zaldivar 5410 124+8 132.60 WDWWW -0.54 +0.12 100% 2.1
3 West Side Alliance Pre Gold 5311 97+2 102.00 WWDWL -0.15 +0.15 87% 3.4
4 SOLAR PRE- ADAMES 6312 118+3 101.67 DWWLW -0.26 +0.53 58% 4.3
5 Dallas Texans Pre- Haylock 6222 89-1 81.33 WLWDD -0.09 +0.08 17% 5.6
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Fondren 7304 118+3 91.29 WLLWW +0.17 +0.02 30% 5.2
7 SOLAR PRE- BATES 6123 77+0 50.83 WLLDD +0.18 -0.69 8% 6.6
8 Sting Pre- Prokof 6114 310-7 40.67 DLLLW +0.23 +0.04 0% 8.4
9 Sting Pre- Girau 7034 512-7 30.43 DLLLD +0.40 -1.76 0% 8.7
10 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon 6024 320-17 20.33 DLLDL +0.32 -0.27 0% 9.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.38 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.