PDA White Pre- One ll
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU12 · 10 teams · PDA White (Shore) (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.6 for, 1.2 against · 2.55 expected points)
| Season so far | PDA White Pre- One ll | Bethesda SC Pre- ll |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-0 | 0-1-5 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 0.17 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W D W | D L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II | — |
| Worst loss | — | 2–6 at PUNSC Pre- ll |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.93 | -1.21 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.19 | +0.62 |
Common opponents: Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll — we 3–3; they 1–4. HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red — we 2–1; they 1–3. PDA Blue Pre- ll — we 3–2; they 1–1. Pipeline SC Pre- ll — we 1–1; they 0–2.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
Bethesda SC Pre- ll concede 3.3/game; worst result 2–6 at PUNSC Pre- ll.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 82% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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What a win does
FC DELCO Pre- ll sit 2nd on 2.29 PPG; we are on 2.20.A point moves us above FC DELCO Pre- ll on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Bethesda SC Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PDA White Pre- One ll – Bethesda SC Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.33 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.33 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.83 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 8%
- 2nd 36%
- 3rd 26%
- 4th 20%
- 5th 7%
- 6th 2%
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.78 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PUNSC Pre- ll | 3.00 (+0.80) | 1st (2.37) | 43 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 2 | FC DELCO Pre- ll | 2.29 (+0.09) | 4th (1.86) | A point next game |
How the results connect
20 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link PDA White Pre- One ll to Bethesda SC Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 7th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:30 AM |
Bethesda SC Pre- ll 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -13 |
Home Walnut School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–1 | 2.55 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
FC DELCO Pre- ll 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home Walnut School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.75 | 2.19 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
PUNSC Pre- ll 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.91 | 2.03 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Maryland United FC Pre- II 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.37 | 2.07 | Bank it |
| Thu Mar 11 07:00 PM |
PDA Blue Pre- ll 5th · 2-2-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
PDA Main Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.73 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- II 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -27 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
4–0 | 2.88 | 2.11 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 6th · 1-4-1 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.89 | 2.09 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +10 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.50 | 2.04 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
PUNSC Pre- ll 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +17 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.22 | 1.99 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Maryland United FC Pre- II 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Pipeline SC Pre- ll 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
2–1 | 2.06 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Bethesda SC Pre- ll 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -13 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
3–1 | 2.35 | 2.02 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
FC DELCO Pre- ll 2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.44 | 1.99 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PUNSC Pre- ll | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 6 | +17 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.88 | +0.08 | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC DELCO Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA Blue Pre- ll See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC DELCO Pre- ll | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 12 | +8 | 16 | 2.29 | WWDLW | -0.43 | +0.20 | 82% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs PUNSC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 at PDA White Pre- One ll · Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC Pre- ll See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PDA White Pre- One ll | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 11 | 2.20 | WDWWD | -0.19 | -0.03 | 91% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Bethesda SC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 vs FC DELCO Pre- ll · Sat Nov 14 at PUNSC Pre- ll See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 10 | 2.00 | WLDWW | -0.36 | +0.01 | 88% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA Blue Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 vs PUNSC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 at Pipeline SC Pre- ll See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | PDA Blue Pre- ll | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 8 | 1.33 | LWWLD | -0.37 | +0.18 | 9% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red · Sat Nov 7 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 14 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 7 | 1.17 | DWDDL | +0.60 | -0.31 | 25% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 vs Pipeline SC Pre- ll See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pipeline SC Pre- ll | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | WLWLD | +0.23 | -0.09 | 5% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red · Sat Nov 14 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Maryland United FC Pre- II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | -0.17 | +0.15 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 at Bethesda SC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 8 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre- Red See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Bethesda SC Pre- ll | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLLD | +0.62 | -0.10 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA White Pre- One ll · Sat Oct 31 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Match Fit Surf Pre- II | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 28 | -27 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.60 | +0.16 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Bethesda SC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 8 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.