Detroit City FC West Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- GMA GU12 · 12 teams · Detroit City FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 14, 03:30 PM
The Sports Academy, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.1 for, 3.1 against · 0.90 expected points)
| Season so far | Detroit City FC West Pre | Michigan Burn Pre White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-3 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 3.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L W | W W W L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue | 8–2 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL |
| Worst loss | 0–6 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE | 1–4 at Portage SC Pre- Green |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.11 | +0.65 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -1.23 |
Common opponents: Portage SC Pre- Green — we 1–5; they 1–4. Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA — we 3–1; they 5–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–6 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 25%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Michigan Burn Pre White have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at The Sports Academy.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue sit 5th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Michigan Burn Pre White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Detroit City FC West Pre – Michigan Burn Pre White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.29 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.71 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.43 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.29 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 21%
- 7th 29%
- 8th 26%
- 9th 4%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portage SC Pre- Green | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.70) | 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 2nd (2.47) | 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY | 3.00 (+1.50) | 3rd (2.25) | 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Michigan Burn Pre White | 1.50 (+0.00) | 5th (1.53) | A point next game |
| 5 | Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue | 1.50 (+0.00) | 8th (1.35) | A point next game |
How the results connect
5 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Detroit City FC West Pre to Michigan Burn Pre White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.46 · 1st hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 11 08:00 AM no score posted |
Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE |
Home Independence Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.50 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 03:30 PM |
Michigan Burn Pre White 4th · 3-0-3 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
The Sports Academy |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
2–3 | 0.90 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
TKO Premier SC Pre 7th · 2-2-2 · GD +6 |
Home Independence Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 1.39 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Portage SC Pre- Green | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.17 | -0.23 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Nov 1 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA · Sat May 1 at Michigan Hawks Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 9 | 3.00 | WW | -0.64 | -0.35 | 98% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sat Oct 24 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA · Sun Oct 25 at Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.10 | -0.25 | 95% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Portage SC Pre- Green · Sat Oct 17 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Michigan Burn Pre White | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | LWWW | -1.23 | +0.36 | 25% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at TKO Premier SC Pre · Sun Oct 4 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -0.39 | -0.10 | 12% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Michigan Burn Pre White · Fri Oct 23 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Central Pre ECNL2014/15 G White · Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Detroit City FC West Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWLW | -0.28 | +0.46 | 9% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE · Sat Nov 14 at Michigan Burn Pre White · Sat Apr 10 vs TKO Premier SC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | TKO Premier SC Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 8 | 1.33 | DWLDL | -0.08 | -0.50 | 44% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Michigan Burn Pre White · Sat Oct 31 vs Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE · Sat Nov 7 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Michigan Hawks Pre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | 1.33 | WD | +0.31 | -0.22 | 17% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 30 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue · Sun Apr 11 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK · Sat May 1 vs Portage SC Pre- Green See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Plymouth Soccer Club Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | -0.24 | -0.48 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK · Sun Nov 8 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 33 | -28 | 3 | 0.60 | LWL | -0.19 | -0.14 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Legends FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Oct 25 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.16 | +0.19 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL · Sun Nov 1 at Portage SC Pre- Green See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.17 | +0.13 | 0% | 11.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Plymouth Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.