Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- GMA GU12 · 12 teams · Cap City Athletic 1847 (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
2nd · 3.00 PPG
11th · 0.00 PPG
East Lansing Soccer Complex, Field N4 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.6 for, 1.4 against · 2.68 expected points)
| Season so far | Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 0-0-6 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 6–2 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK | — |
| Worst loss | — | 0–4 at Plymouth Soccer Club Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.99 | -1.61 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.64 | +0.16 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 1 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA concede 3.8/game; worst result 0–4 at Plymouth Soccer Club Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 4–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Confidence is low on their side
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
-
What a win does
Portage SC Pre- Green sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.A win moves us above Portage SC Pre- Green on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre – Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 | 2nd— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.50 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 23%
- 2nd 42%
- 3rd 29%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portage SC Pre- Green | 3.00 (+0.00) | 1st (2.70) | Win next game |
How the results connect
2 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre to Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.35 · 10th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 12:00 PM no score posted |
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +7 |
Home East Lansing Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.37 | 2.59 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA 11th · 0-0-6 · GD -17 |
Home East Lansing Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.68 | 2.61 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue 5th · 2-0-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Rick Hartker Soccer Fields |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 2.50 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Plymouth Soccer Club Pre 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home East Lansing Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 2.47 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portage SC Pre- Green | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | +12 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.17 | -0.23 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Nov 1 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA · Sat May 1 at Michigan Hawks Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 9 | 3.00 | WW | -0.64 | -0.35 | 99% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sat Oct 24 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA · Sun Oct 25 at Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.10 | -0.25 | 95% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Portage SC Pre- Green · Sat Oct 17 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Michigan Burn Pre White | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | +2 | 9 | 1.50 | LWWW | -1.23 | +0.36 | 25% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at TKO Premier SC Pre · Sun Oct 4 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | -0.39 | -0.10 | 12% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Michigan Burn Pre White · Fri Oct 23 vs Liverpool FC-IA MI Central Pre ECNL2014/15 G White · Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Detroit City FC West Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWLW | -0.28 | +0.46 | 9% | 6.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE · Sat Nov 14 at Michigan Burn Pre White · Sat Apr 10 vs TKO Premier SC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | TKO Premier SC Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 8 | 1.33 | DWLDL | -0.08 | -0.50 | 44% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Michigan Burn Pre White · Sat Oct 31 vs Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE · Sat Nov 7 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Michigan Hawks Pre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 | 1.33 | WD | +0.31 | -0.22 | 17% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Oct 30 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue · Sun Apr 11 vs Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK · Sat May 1 vs Portage SC Pre- Green See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Plymouth Soccer Club Pre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | -0.24 | -0.48 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK · Sun Nov 8 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 33 | -28 | 3 | 0.60 | LWL | -0.19 | -0.14 | 0% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Legends FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Oct 25 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 14/15 PreECNL GMA | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.16 | +0.19 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C Pre BL · Sun Nov 1 at Portage SC Pre- Green See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLACK | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.17 | +0.13 | 0% | 11.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Plymouth Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.