TableChase Clubs

Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL BLA

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- GMA GU11 · 17 teams · Liverpool FC-IA Michigan (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
16th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-24 goal diff · 0–24
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 16.5
+0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL BLA
16th · 0.00 PPG
at
Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black
5th · 2.25 PPG

Evolution Sportsplex Dome, Field A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.9 for, 4.8 against · 0.11 expected points)

Season so farLiverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL BLANationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black
Position16th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-43-0-1
Points per game0.002.25
Goals for / game0.02.3
Goals against / game6.02.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless41
Form (recent first)L L L LW W L W
Biggest win—4–0 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE
Worst loss0–7 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 15/16 PreECNL GMA0–6 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.44+0.20
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.29-0.20

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–7 at Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 15/16 PreECNL GMA, 0–7 vs Michigan Burn Pre, 0–6 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY, 0–4 at Michigan Hawks Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Evolution Sportsplex Dome.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Michigan Rangers FC Pre sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Michigan Rangers FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL BLA – Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 17th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 1
Win
0.60 PPG		 14th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 2 15th▲ up 1
Draw
0.20 PPG		 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we fall to at least 17th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
16.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th 3%
  16. 16th 38%
  17. 17th 58%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 1.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Portage SC Pre- Green 2.60 (+2.60) 1st (2.38) 24 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 2.50 (+2.50) 3rd (2.17) 23 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Legends FC Pre 2.29 (+2.29) 2nd (2.26) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE 2.25 (+2.25) 5th (1.93) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black 2.25 (+2.25) 7th (1.77) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 15/16 PreECNL GMA 2.00 (+2.00) 8th (1.73) 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (2.05) 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Detroit City FC West Pre 1.83 (+1.83) 6th (1.91) 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 1.80 (+1.80) 9th (1.68) 17 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 Michigan Burn Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (1.03) 9 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection
11 TKO Premier SC Pre 0.78 (+0.78) 12th (0.98) 8 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
12 Michigan Hawks Pre 0.75 (+0.75) 10th (1.28) 7 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
13 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE 0.60 (+0.60) 15th (0.62) Win next game
14 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue 0.50 (+0.50) 14th (0.71) A point next game
15 Michigan Rangers FC Pre 0.00 (+0.00) 13th (0.84) Already ahead

How the results connect

7 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL BLA to Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
7 favour them
-8.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–7 6–1 1–2 2–4 6–0 0–4 0–3 1–3 0–7 1–2 0–6 1–3 1–2 1–3 0–4 Liverpool FC-IA Mic… 16th Liverpool FC-IA Mic… 6th Michigan Hawks Pre 12th Michigan Burn Pre 10th Nationals SC Macomb… 9th Nationals SC Genese… 14th Cap City Athletic 1… 7th Nationals SC Oaklan… 2nd Nationals SC Macomb… 13th Nationals SC - Oakl… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 9th 17th Aug 22 Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 23

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.97 · 2nd hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 27
01:15 PM
no score posted		 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
UWM Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–4 0.06 0.01 Upside
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM		 Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +1		 Away
Evolution Sportsplex Dome		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.11 0.03 Upside
Sat May 1
04:00 PM		 Portage SC Pre- Green
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +14		 Away far trip
Portage Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.02 0.03 Upside
Sat May 22
12:00 PM		 Legends FC Pre
3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +21		 Away far trip
Legacy Center Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–6 0.01 0.03 Upside
Sun May 23
12:00 PM		 TKO Premier SC Pre
11th · 2-1-6 · GD -6		 Away far trip
Kalamazoo Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.29 0.05 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Portage SC Pre- Green 5410 206+14 132.60 WWDWW -0.05 -0.28 93% 2.0
2 Nationals SC Oakland Pre- BLUE 6501 165+11 152.50 WWWWW -0.08 +0.24 70% 3.6
3 Legends FC Pre 7511 265+21 162.29 WWWLD -0.13 +0.04 86% 2.9
4 Nationals SC-CA PreECNL BLUE 4301 136+7 92.25 WWWL +0.44 +0.18 34% 5.6
5 Nationals SC - Oakland PreECNL Black 4301 98+1 92.25 WLWW -0.20 -0.56 13% 7.0
6 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan NO G 15/16 PreECNL GMA 6402 217+14 122.00 WWLWL -0.50 +1.89 8% 7.3
7 Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre 6402 1910+9 122.00 WLLWW +1.04 -1.23 50% 4.5
8 Detroit City FC West Pre 6321 196+13 111.83 WWLDD +0.73 -0.14 36% 5.6
9 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 5302 108+2 91.80 WLWWL -0.35 -0.01 9% 7.6
10 Michigan Burn Pre 7214 1111+0 71.00 DLLLW -0.78 +0.43 0% 11.7
11 TKO Premier SC Pre 9216 1117-6 70.78 DLWLL +0.26 -0.37 0% 12.1
12 Michigan Hawks Pre 4103 45-1 30.75 LLLW -0.11 -1.93 0% 10.3
13 Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE 5104 720-13 30.60 LLWL +0.17 +0.48 0% 14.0
14 Nationals SC Genesee Pre- Blue 6105 624-18 30.50 LWLLL +0.97 -0.22 0% 13.7
15 Michigan Rangers FC Pre 1001 05-5 00.00 L +1.77 -0.72 1% 12.4
16 Liverpool FC-IA Michigan C PreECNL BLA 4004 024-24 00.00 LLLL +0.29 +0.97 0% 16.5
17 Plymouth Soccer Club Pre 3003 025-25 00.00 LLL +1.12 +0.15 0% 16.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.