Portland City United SC PRE
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Far West GU12 · 8 teams · Portland City United SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Buckman Field Park, Football - West ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.2 against · 0.80 expected points)
| Season so far | Portland City United SC PRE | Oregon Premier FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 4-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W L | W W W L W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 vs United PDX Pre | 6–0 at FC Portland Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–4 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | 1–2 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.09 | +1.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.49 | -0.34 |
Common opponents: Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I — we 0–4; they 1–2. United PDX Pre — we 5–0; they 4–0. Eastside Timbers Pre — we 1–2, 3–1; they 2–1. FC Portland Pre — we 1–1; they 6–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Oregon Premier FC Pre score 2.8/game — well above the league's 1.8.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Oregon Premier FC Pre concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 20%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Oregon Premier FC Pre have won 3 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Eugene Metro FC Pre sit 4th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.40.A point moves us above Eugene Metro FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Oregon Premier FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Portland City United SC PRE – Oregon Premier FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.17 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.67 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 1.17 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 6th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 13%
- 4th 32%
- 5th 42%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 1%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.62 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | 2.50 (+1.10) | 1st (2.45) | 46 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 2 | Oregon Premier FC Pre | 2.40 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.17) | 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 3 | Oregon Surf PreECNL | 2.00 (+0.60) | 3rd (1.74) | 35 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 4 | Eugene Metro FC Pre | 1.50 (+0.10) | 4th (1.43) | A point next game |
How the results connect
17 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Portland City United SC PRE to Oregon Premier FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.10 · 3rd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 11 TBD no score posted |
Oregon Surf PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–1 | 1.03 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 09:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
FC Portland Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Liberty High School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.15 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 TBD |
Eugene Metro FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.65 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 12:00 PM |
United PDX Pre 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17 |
Away Oregon Episcopal School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
2–1 | 2.35 | 1.50 | Bank it |
| Sat Jan 23 TBD |
United PDX Pre 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
2–1 | 2.35 | 1.57 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 13 01:00 PM |
Eugene Metro FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Lane Community College |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–2 | 1.35 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 14 TBD |
Oregon Premier FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 09:00 AM |
Eastside Timbers Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.83 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 28 09:00 AM |
FC Portland Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -14 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 75% |
3–1 | 2.39 | 1.52 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 09:00 AM |
Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +19 |
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 1.45 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 11:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
TBA |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.60 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 PM |
Oregon Surf PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.27 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 PM |
Eugene Metro FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.65 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
Oregon Surf PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home Buckman Field Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.27 | 1.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | +19 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | -0.28 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs United PDX Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Eugene Metro FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside Timbers Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Oregon Premier FC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.34 | -0.14 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Portland City United SC PRE · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Surf PreECNL See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Oregon Surf PreECNL | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWW | +0.29 | +0.00 | 94% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Portland City United SC PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside Timbers Pre · Sun Nov 1 at United PDX Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eugene Metro FC Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | 1.50 | LWLWL | +0.16 | -0.07 | 55% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Portland Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I · Sat Nov 7 at FC Portland Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Portland City United SC PRE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | LWLDW | -0.49 | +0.10 | 46% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Oregon Surf PreECNL · Sat Oct 24 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at FC Portland Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Eastside Timbers Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 1.00 | LWWLL | -0.33 | +0.19 | 5% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Oregon Surf PreECNL · Sun Nov 8 at United PDX Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Portland Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLDL | +0.68 | +0.05 | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eugene Metro FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Oregon Premier FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | United PDX Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.60 | +0.13 | 0% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I · Sun Nov 1 vs Oregon Surf PreECNL · Sun Nov 8 vs Eastside Timbers Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.