Result · Sunday, Oct 18, 11:00 AM
Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 1–2 Oregon Surf PreECNL
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 14% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 67% home, 18% draw, 14% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | Oregon Surf PreECNL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-0-1 | 4-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W W W | W W L W W |
| Biggest win | 9–1 vs FC Portland Pre | 4–1 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Oregon Surf PreECNL | 2–4 at Eugene Metro FC Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.95 | +0.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | +0.29 |
Already met this season: Oct 18 1–2 (home for Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I)
Common opponents: FC Portland Pre — Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 9–1; Oregon Surf PreECNL 1–0. Oregon Premier FC Pre — Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 2–1; Oregon Surf PreECNL 0–1. Eugene Metro FC Pre — Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 4–0; Oregon Surf PreECNL 2–4, 1–0, 4–1.
What's at stake
| Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | Oregon Surf PreECNL | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 1st | 3rd |
| Games left | 15 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 100% | 94% |
| Chance of 1st | 83% | 1% |
| Average finish | 1.2 | 3.2 |
How the results connect
13 chains
9 favour Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I, 3 favour Oregon Surf PreECNL, 1 even; average margin +1.9 goals toward Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I.
- -1Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I lost to Oregon Surf PreECNL 1–2
- +1Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I beat Eugene Metro FC Pre 4–0 → Eugene Metro FC Pre lost to Oregon Surf PreECNL 1–4
- +2Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I beat Oregon Premier FC Pre 2–1 → Oregon Premier FC Pre beat Oregon Surf PreECNL 1–0
- +3Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I beat Eugene Metro FC Pre 4–0 → Eugene Metro FC Pre lost to Oregon Surf PreECNL 0–1
- +6Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I beat Eugene Metro FC Pre 4–0 → Eugene Metro FC Pre beat Oregon Surf PreECNL 4–2
- +7Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I beat FC Portland Pre 9–1 → FC Portland Pre lost to Oregon Surf PreECNL 0–1
Full picture: Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I · Oregon Surf PreECNL · Pre- Far West GU12 standings