FC Portland Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Far West GU12 · 8 teams · FC Portland Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM
Lane Community College, Track Field ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.3 against · 0.50 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Portland Pre | Eugene Metro FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-3 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L L W | L W L W L |
| Biggest win | 2–1 vs Eastside Timbers Pre | 5–1 vs United PDX Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–9 at Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | 0–4 at Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.52 | -0.08 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.68 | +0.16 |
Common opponents: Eastside Timbers Pre — we 2–1; they 2–1. Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I — we 1–9; they 0–4. Oregon Surf PreECNL — we 0–1; they 4–2, 0–1, 1–4.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Oregon Surf PreECNL, 0–6 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 12%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:30 AM at Lane Community College.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Eastside Timbers Pre sit 6th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.80.A point moves us above Eastside Timbers Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Eugene Metro FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Portland Pre – Eugene Metro FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.67 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Win 1.17 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 0.83 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 7th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 11%
- 7th 74%
- 8th 13%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.48 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | 2.50 (+1.70) | 1st (2.45) | 49 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 2 | Oregon Premier FC Pre | 2.40 (+1.60) | 2nd (2.17) | 47 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 3 | Oregon Surf PreECNL | 2.00 (+1.20) | 3rd (1.74) | 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 4 | Eugene Metro FC Pre | 1.50 (+0.70) | 4th (1.43) | 28 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | Portland City United SC PRE | 1.40 (+0.60) | 5th (1.40) | 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 6 | Eastside Timbers Pre | 1.00 (+0.20) | 6th (1.06) | A point next game |
How the results connect
21 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link FC Portland Pre to Eugene Metro FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.05 · 4th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 11:30 AM |
Eugene Metro FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Lane Community College |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.50 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:30 AM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Away far trip
Hazelia |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.15 | 0.66 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Eugene Metro FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.72 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Portland City United SC PRE 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.68 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 06:30 PM |
United PDX Pre 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17 |
Home South Meadows Middle School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 0.79 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 01:00 PM |
Oregon Surf PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home South Meadows Middle School |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.55 | 0.77 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 10:30 AM |
Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +19 |
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.07 | 0.71 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 09:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.24 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
Eastside Timbers Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.97 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Eugene Metro FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.50 | 0.68 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 09:00 AM |
Portland City United SC PRE 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Buckman Field Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.48 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
United PDX Pre 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.55 | 0.72 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 03:00 PM |
Eastside Timbers Pre 6th · 2-0-4 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.74 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.13 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Oregon Surf PreECNL 3rd · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–2 | 0.39 | 0.67 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
United PDX Pre 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 0.73 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 4 | +19 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWL | -0.28 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs United PDX Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Eugene Metro FC Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Eastside Timbers Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Oregon Premier FC Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.34 | -0.14 | 100% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Portland City United SC PRE · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Surf PreECNL See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Oregon Surf PreECNL | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | WWLWW | +0.29 | +0.00 | 93% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Portland City United SC PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside Timbers Pre · Sun Nov 1 at United PDX Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Eugene Metro FC Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | 1.50 | LWLWL | +0.16 | -0.07 | 54% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Portland Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I · Sat Nov 7 at FC Portland Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Portland City United SC PRE | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 7 | 1.40 | LWLDW | -0.49 | +0.10 | 49% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Oregon Surf PreECNL · Sat Oct 24 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at FC Portland Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Eastside Timbers Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 | 1.00 | LWWLL | -0.33 | +0.19 | 5% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Oregon Surf PreECNL · Sun Nov 8 at United PDX Pre · Sat Nov 14 vs Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Portland Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLDL | +0.68 | +0.05 | 0% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eugene Metro FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Oregon Premier FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | United PDX Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 19 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.60 | +0.13 | 0% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC Pre- G14/15 I · Sun Nov 1 vs Oregon Surf PreECNL · Sun Nov 8 vs Eastside Timbers Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.83 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.