TableChase Clubs

United PDX Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Far West GU11 · 7 teams · United PDX (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
6th
0-3-2 record · 5 played
0.60 points per game
-3 goal diff · 5–8
LDLDDlast 5
59% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5
+0.52 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM

Open the match preview →

United PDX Pre
6th · 0.60 PPG
at
Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 2.60 PPG

CFC Pioneer Sportspark, ED DAVISON 1 WEST 9V9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.8 for, 3.3 against · 0.27 expected points)

Season so farUnited PDX PreCapital FC Pre- G15/16 I
Position6th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-3-24-1-0
Points per game0.602.60
Goals for / game1.04.2
Goals against / game1.60.6
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)D D L D LW D W W W
Biggest win—7–0 vs Oregon Surf PreECNL
Worst loss0–2 at Portland City United SC PRE—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.22+2.17
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.52-0.24

Already played this season: Sun Oct 11 2–2 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I (D)

Common opponents: Portland City United SC PRE — we 0–2; they 6–0. Eugene Metro FC Pre — we 0–0; they 5–1. Oregon Premier FC Pre — we 1–1; they 1–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I score 4.2/game — well above the league's 1.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Portland City United SC PRE, 0–0 at Eugene Metro FC Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at CFC Pioneer Sportspark.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Portland City United SC PRE sit 5th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A win moves us above Portland City United SC PRE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (United PDX Pre – Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG		 5th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 1 6th— holds
Draw
0.67 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
0.50 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 7th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
59% top 4
41% below the top 4
4.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 51%
  5. 5th 25%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I 2.60 (+2.00) 1st (2.54) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Eugene Metro FC Pre 1.83 (+1.23) 3rd (1.64) 29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre 1.75 (+1.15) 2nd (2.16) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Eastside Timbers Pre 1.40 (+0.80) 5th (0.98) 21 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
5 Portland City United SC PRE 1.00 (+0.40) 6th (0.96) Win next game

How the results connect

12 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link United PDX Pre to Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
2 even
10 favour them
-4.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 1–1 0–1 0–0 1–5 0–2 0–6 7–0 0–7 4–0 2–0 2–3 1–0 0–0 0–0 0–6 0–5 United PDX Pre 6th Oregon Premier FC P… 3rd Eugene Metro FC Pre 2nd Portland City Unite… 5th Eastside Timbers Pre 4th Oregon Surf PreECNL 7th Capital FC Pre- G15… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 4th 7th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 5th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM		 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +18		 Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.27 0.55 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Home
Oregon Episcopal School · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 2–0 2.48 0.82 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM		 Eastside Timbers Pre
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -9		 Home
Oregon Episcopal School · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 1–1 2.01 0.97 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
12:00 PM		 Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1-1-2 · GD -5		 Home
Oregon Episcopal School · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 1–0 1.79 1.06 Swing game
Sat Jan 23
TBD		 Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1-1-2 · GD -5		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 1–0 1.79 1.13 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
TBD		 Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +12		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–2 0.58 1.08 Upside
Sat Feb 6
TBD		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–1 1.02 1.08 Upside
Sat Feb 27
09:00 AM		 Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +12		 Away far trip
TBA		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.42 1.03 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD		 Eastside Timbers Pre
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -9		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 1–1 2.01 1.10 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 2–0 2.48 1.19 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%		 0–1 0.82 1.17 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +18		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.40 1.12 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I 5410 213+18 132.60 WWWDW -0.24 -0.42 100% 1.1
2 Eugene Metro FC Pre 6321 125+7 111.83 WDLWD -0.92 +0.34 98% 3.1
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre 4211 142+12 71.75 WLWD -0.34 -0.35 100% 2.0
4 Eastside Timbers Pre 5212 413-9 71.40 LWWLD +0.06 +0.24 21% 5.2
5 Portland City United SC PRE 4112 27-5 41.00 LWLD -0.16 +0.18 22% 5.2
6 United PDX Pre 5032 58-3 30.60 LDLDD +0.52 +0.04 59% 4.5
7 Oregon Surf PreECNL 5014 020-20 10.20 LLLDL +1.08 +0.22 0% 6.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.62 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.