TableChase Clubs

Portland City United SC PRE

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Far West GU11 · 7 teams · Portland City United SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
5th
1-1-2 record · 4 played
1.00 points per game
-5 goal diff · 2–7
LWLDlast 4
23% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.2
-0.16 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1.00 PPG
vs
Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 1.75 PPG

Buckman Field Park, Football - East ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.6 for, 2.4 against · 0.38 expected points)

Season so farPortland City United SC PREOregon Premier FC Pre
Position5th3rd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-22-1-1
Points per game1.001.75
Goals for / game0.53.5
Goals against / game1.80.5
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)D L W LD W L W
Biggest win2–0 vs United PDX Pre7–0 vs Oregon Surf PreECNL
Worst loss0–6 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I0–1 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.70+1.52
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.16-0.34

Common opponents: Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I — we 0–6; they 0–1. United PDX Pre — we 2–0; they 1–1. Eastside Timbers Pre — we 0–1, 0–0; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Oregon Premier FC Pre score 3.5/game — well above the league's 1.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Oregon Premier FC Pre concede only 0.5/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–6 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I, 0–1 vs Eastside Timbers Pre, 0–0 at Eastside Timbers Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 8%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Eastside Timbers Pre sit 4th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A win moves us above Eastside Timbers Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Oregon Premier FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Portland City United SC PRE – Oregon Premier FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.80 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Win
1.40 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
0.80 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
23% top 4
77% below the top 4
5.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 21%
  5. 5th 38%
  6. 6th 38%
  7. 7th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.56 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I 2.60 (+1.60) 1st (2.54) 43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 Eugene Metro FC Pre 1.83 (+0.83) 3rd (1.64) 29 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre 1.75 (+0.75) 2nd (2.16) 28 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 Eastside Timbers Pre 1.40 (+0.40) 5th (0.98) Win next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Portland City United SC PRE to Oregon Premier FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 even
6 favour them
-2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 1–1 0–6 1–0 0–0 0–6 0–1 3–2 2–2 7–0 0–7 Portland City Unite… 5th United PDX Pre 6th Capital FC Pre- G15… 1st Eastside Timbers Pre 4th Oregon Surf PreECNL 7th Oregon Premier FC P… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 4th 7th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 4th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
TBD
no score posted		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 1–0 1.95 1.19 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM		 Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +12		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–2 0.38 1.06 Upside
Sat Nov 14
TBD		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 0–1 0.74 1.01 Upside
Sun Nov 22
12:00 PM		 United PDX Pre
6th · 0-3-2 · GD -3		 Away
Oregon Episcopal School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 0–1 0.93 1.00 Upside
Sat Jan 23
TBD		 United PDX Pre
6th · 0-3-2 · GD -3		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%		 0–1 0.93 0.99 Upside
Sat Feb 6
TBD		 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +18		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.25 0.92 Upside
Sat Feb 13
10:00 AM		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Away far trip
Lane Community College		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–1 0.58 0.89 Upside
Sun Feb 14
TBD		 Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +12		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–2 0.38 0.85 Upside
Sat Feb 27
09:00 AM		 Eastside Timbers Pre
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -9		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 1–1 1.61 0.90 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM		 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +18		 Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.16 0.85 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM		 Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +12		 Away far trip
TBA		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–2 0.27 0.81 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 PM		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 1–0 2.15 0.90 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
10:30 AM		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 0–1 0.74 0.89 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 1–0 2.15 0.96 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I 5410 213+18 132.60 WWWDW -0.24 -0.42 100% 1.1
2 Eugene Metro FC Pre 6321 125+7 111.83 WDLWD -0.92 +0.34 98% 3.1
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre 4211 142+12 71.75 WLWD -0.34 -0.35 100% 2.0
4 Eastside Timbers Pre 5212 413-9 71.40 LWWLD +0.06 +0.24 23% 5.2
5 Portland City United SC PRE 4112 27-5 41.00 LWLD -0.16 +0.18 23% 5.2
6 United PDX Pre 5032 58-3 30.60 LDLDD +0.52 +0.04 56% 4.6
7 Oregon Surf PreECNL 5014 020-20 10.20 LLLDL +1.08 +0.22 0% 7.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.62 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.