TableChase Clubs

Oregon Premier FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Far West GU11 · 7 teams · Oregon Premier FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
3rd
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+12 goal diff · 14–2
WLWDlast 4
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
-0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Oregon Premier FC Pre
3rd · 1.75 PPG
at
Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1.00 PPG

Buckman Field Park, Football - East ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.4 for, 0.6 against · 2.47 expected points)

Season so farOregon Premier FC PrePortland City United SC PRE
Position3rd5th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-11-1-2
Points per game1.751.00
Goals for / game3.50.5
Goals against / game0.51.8
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)D W L WD L W L
Biggest win7–0 vs Oregon Surf PreECNL2–0 vs United PDX Pre
Worst loss0–1 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I0–6 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.52-0.70
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.34-0.16

Common opponents: Eastside Timbers Pre — we 6–0; they 0–1, 0–0. Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I — we 0–1; they 0–6. United PDX Pre — we 1–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Portland City United SC PRE average 0.5 goals/game (league avg 1.6); blanked in 3 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 77% chance; likely score 2–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Buckman Field Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Eugene Metro FC Pre sit 2nd on 1.83 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A point moves us above Eugene Metro FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Portland City United SC PRE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oregon Premier FC Pre – Portland City United SC PRE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Win
2.00 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
1.60 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.40 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

9% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 9%
  2. 2nd 84%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.74 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I 2.60 (+0.85) 1st (2.54) 43 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 Eugene Metro FC Pre 1.83 (+0.08) 3rd (1.64) A point next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Oregon Premier FC Pre to Portland City United SC PRE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
+2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–2 0–1 6–0 6–0 0–0 1–0 2–3 2–2 7–0 0–7 Oregon Premier FC P… 3rd United PDX Pre 6th Capital FC Pre- G15… 1st Eastside Timbers Pre 4th Oregon Surf PreECNL 7th Portland City Unite… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 4th 7th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.35 · 6th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM		 Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1-1-2 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Buckman Field Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 2–0 2.47 1.89 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
TBD		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 4–0 2.88 2.06 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
10:00 AM		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Away far trip
Bob Keefer		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 1–1 1.78 2.02 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM		 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +18		 Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.03 1.89 Upside
Sat Jan 23
11:00 AM		 Eastside Timbers Pre
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -9		 Home
TBA		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 3–0 2.79 1.99 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
TBD		 United PDX Pre
6th · 0-3-2 · GD -3		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 2–0 2.24 2.02 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
TBD		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 4–0 2.88 2.10 Bank it
Sat Feb 13
09:00 AM		 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +18		 Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.03 2.01 Upside
Sat Feb 13
TBD		 Oregon Surf PreECNL
7th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 4–0 2.88 2.08 Bank it
Sun Feb 14
TBD		 Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1-1-2 · GD -5		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 2–0 2.47 2.10 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
09:00 AM		 United PDX Pre
6th · 0-3-2 · GD -3		 Home
TBA		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 2–0 2.43 2.13 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Home
TBA		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 1–0 2.01 2.12 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM		 Portland City United SC PRE
5th · 1-1-2 · GD -5		 Home
TBA		 ●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 2–0 2.62 2.15 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
01:00 PM		 Eastside Timbers Pre
4th · 2-1-2 · GD -9		 Away far trip
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
86%		 3–0 2.67 2.18 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Eugene Metro FC Pre
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +7		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 1–1 1.78 2.16 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Capital FC Pre- G15/16 I 5410 213+18 132.60 WWWDW -0.24 -0.42 100% 1.1
2 Eugene Metro FC Pre 6321 125+7 111.83 WDLWD -0.92 +0.34 98% 3.1
3 Oregon Premier FC Pre 4211 142+12 71.75 WLWD -0.34 -0.35 100% 2.0
4 Eastside Timbers Pre 5212 413-9 71.40 LWWLD +0.06 +0.24 23% 5.2
5 Portland City United SC PRE 4112 27-5 41.00 LWLD -0.16 +0.18 22% 5.2
6 United PDX Pre 5032 58-3 30.60 LDLDD +0.52 +0.04 57% 4.5
7 Oregon Surf PreECNL 5014 020-20 10.20 LLLDL +1.08 +0.22 0% 7.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.62 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.