TableChase Clubs

Rebels SC Pre- Blue II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 9 teams · Rebels Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
1-1-2 record · 4 played
1.00 points per game
-3 goal diff · 13–16
WDLLlast 4
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.6
+0.57 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, TBD

Open the match preview →

Rebels SC Pre- Blue II
7th · 1.00 PPG
at
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
8th · 0.75 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 4–3 (expected goals 4.8 for, 3.5 against · 1.92 expected points)

Season so farRebels SC Pre- Blue IISporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
Position7th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-21-0-3
Points per game1.000.75
Goals for / game3.32.5
Goals against / game4.06.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L D WL L L
Biggest win6–3 vs Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II—
Worst loss1–6 vs West Coast FC Pre- White II0–10 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.46-2.38
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.57+1.68

Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 6–3 vs Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II (W)

Common opponents: West Coast FC Pre- White II — we 1–6; they 4–9.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II concede 6.8/game; worst result 0–10 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 60% / draw 13% / loss 27%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff TBD at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Pateadores Pre- Gold II sit 6th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Pateadores Pre- Gold II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rebels SC Pre- Blue II – Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.40 PPG		 6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Win
1.40 PPG		 6th▲ up 1 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG		 7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
0.80 PPG		 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–3 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
6.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 59%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 West Coast FC Pre- White II 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.39) 53 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II 2.25 (+1.25) 2nd (2.33) 39 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 2.25 (+1.25) 3rd (1.94) 39 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 Legends FC PRE Black II 1.75 (+0.75) 5th (1.56) 30 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 1.50 (+0.50) 4th (1.61) 25 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Pateadores Pre- Gold II 1.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.49) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Rebels SC Pre- Blue II to Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–3 1–6 9–4 4–5 1–6 2–2 1–4 Rebels SC Pre- Blue… 7th West Coast FC Pre- … 1st CDA Slammers FC Pre… 3rd Pateadores Pre- Gol… 6th Sporting California… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 6th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted		 Legends FC PRE Black II
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8		 Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–4 0.79 0.96 Upside
Sun Nov 8
TBD		 Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -17		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 4–3 1.92 1.12 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM		 SDSC Surf Pre- Orange II
 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–3 1.43 1.16 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM		 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +26		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 2–4 0.43 1.07 Upside
Sun Dec 13
09:00 AM		 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -37		 Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 5–2 2.61 1.24 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM		 Empire Surf Pre- II
 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–3 1.43 1.26 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM		 Legends FC PRE Black II
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 3–3 1.13 1.25 Upside
Sun Mar 28
TBD		 Pateadores Pre- Gold II
6th · 1-2-2 · GD +4		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
24%		 2–4 0.85 1.22 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 2–4 0.60 1.17 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 West Coast FC Pre- White II
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 2–5 0.32 1.11 Upside
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–3 1.25 1.12 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
25%		 2–3 0.91 1.10 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +26		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–5 0.25 1.05 Upside
Sun May 9
02:00 PM		 Legends FC - Del Mar Pre White II
 Home
Southwestern College		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–3 1.43 1.07 Swing game
Sun May 16
09:00 AM		 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -37		 Home
Southwestern College		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 6–1 2.78 1.16 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 West Coast FC Pre- White II 4400 257+18 123.00 WWWW -0.28 -0.14 100% 1.5
2 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II 4301 293+26 92.25 WWLW -2.08 +0.17 99% 1.8
3 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 4301 2011+9 92.25 LWWW -0.70 +0.08 88% 3.2
4 Legends FC PRE Black II 4211 168+8 71.75 WWD -2.59 +0.54 34% 5.1
5 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 4202 1010+0 61.50 WLW +1.56 -0.23 46% 4.7
6 Pateadores Pre- Gold II 5122 1814+4 51.00 LDLWD -0.29 -0.03 30% 5.1
7 Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 4112 1316-3 41.00 WDLL +0.57 +0.05 3% 6.6
8 Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 4103 1027-17 30.75 LLL +1.68 +0.13 0% 7.9
9 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II 5005 340-37 00.00 LLLLL +1.17 +0.32 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.