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Legends FC PRE Black II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 9 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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5th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
+0 goal diff · 16–16
WWDLlast 4
10% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
-2.59 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 08:00 AM

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Legends FC PRE Black II
5th · 1.40 PPG
at

Santiago Charter Middle School, Field 3ss ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–4 (expected goals 2.8 for, 4.4 against · 0.79 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC PRE Black IICDA Slammers FC Pre Black II
Position5th3rd
Record (W-D-L)2-1-23-0-1
Points per game1.402.25
Goals for / game3.25.0
Goals against / game3.22.8
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L D W WW W W L
Biggest win7–0 vs Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II11–0 at Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II
Worst loss0–8 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II1–6 at West Coast FC Pre- White II
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.09+1.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-2.59-0.70

Common opponents: Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II — we 5–3, 7–0; they 11–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–8 vs San Diego Surf Pre- Black II.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Santiago Charter Middle School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II sit 4th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC PRE Black II – CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.17 PPG
5th— holds 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2
Win
1.67 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.17 PPG
5th— holds 7th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–4 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
10% top 4
90% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 8%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 36%
  7. 7th 31%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 West Coast FC Pre- White II 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.42) 53 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II 2.25 (+0.85) 2nd (2.35) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
3 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 2.25 (+0.85) 3rd (1.96) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 1.50 (+0.10) 4th (1.63) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC PRE Black II to CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
5 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–0 0–11 5–3 3–3 2–2 4–5 10–0 1–4 6–1 2–5 1–3 Legends FC PRE Blac… 5th Eagles SC Eagles SC… 9th Pateadores Pre- Gol… 6th Rebels SC Pre- Blue… 7th West Coast FC Pre- … 1st Beach Futbol Club P… 4th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.57 · 1st hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.84 1.47 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Santiago Charter Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–4 0.79 1.38 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:30 PM
LA Breakers Pre- Red II
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
3–3 1.66 1.41 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
10:30 AM
West Coast FC Pre- White II
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18
Away far trip
Robert A Curtis Park
●●●●● Very tough
12%
2–4 0.46 1.31 Upside
Sun Dec 13
01:30 PM
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
3–2 1.47 1.32 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
01:30 PM
CDA Slammers FC Pre White II
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
3–3 1.66 1.35 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 PM
Rebels SC Pre- Blue II
7th · 1-1-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Southwestern College
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
3–3 1.46 1.36 Swing game
Sun Mar 28
12:00 PM
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +26
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.58 1.30 Upside
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -17
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
5–2 2.45 1.38 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +26
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
2–5 0.36 1.31 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Pateadores Pre- Gold II
6th · 1-2-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.06 1.30 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 PM
CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +9
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
3–3 1.14 1.29 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
West Coast FC Pre- White II
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +18
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–4 0.72 1.26 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II
8th · 1-0-3 · GD -17
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
4–3 2.13 1.30 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.11 1.29 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 West Coast FC Pre- White II 4400 257+18 123.00 WWWW -0.28 -0.22 100% 1.5
2 SDSC Surf Pre- Silver II 4301 293+26 92.25 WWLW -2.08 +0.09 100% 1.8
3 CDA Slammers FC Pre Black II 4301 2011+9 92.25 LWWW -0.70 -0.00 92% 3.1
4 Beach Futbol Club Pre- Black II 4202 1010+0 61.50 WLW +1.56 -0.30 56% 4.5
5 Legends FC PRE Black II 5212 1616+0 71.40 WWDL -2.59 +0.57 10% 6.0
6 Pateadores Pre- Gold II 5122 1814+4 51.00 LDLWD -0.42 -0.07 36% 4.9
7 Rebels SC Pre- Blue II 4112 1316-3 41.00 WDLL +0.57 -0.03 6% 6.4
8 Sporting California USA Pre- NAVY II 4103 1027-17 30.75 LLL +1.68 +0.06 0% 7.8
9 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- White II 5005 340-37 00.00 LLLLL +0.94 +0.32 0% 9.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.