San Diego Surf Pre- White I
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 8 teams · San Diego Surf Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.8 for, 2.8 against · 1.86 expected points)
| Season so far | San Diego Surf Pre- White I | Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-0 | 4-0-0 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 7.5 | 4.5 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W | W W W W |
| Biggest win | 13–0 vs Pateadores Pre- I | 6–0 at SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.89 | +1.83 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.48 | -0.41 |
Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I — we 5–3; they 6–3. SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I — we 7–1; they 6–0. Legends FC PRE I — we 5–2; they 3–1.
Game plan
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Hard to break down
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I concede only 1.2/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 57% / draw 15% / loss 28%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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They arrive in form
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I have won 4 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (San Diego Surf Pre- White I – Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.60 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.40 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–2 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 52%
- 2nd 38%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 1%
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
9 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link San Diego Surf Pre- White I to Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
5 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.28 · 2nd hardest of 7
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13 |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.86 | 2.77 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM |
LAFC Pre GOLD I 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
Oak Park High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
3–3 | 1.77 | 2.60 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 09:00 AM |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
5–2 | 2.60 | 2.60 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 10:30 AM |
Sporting California USA Pre- RED I |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
5–2 | 2.60 | 2.60 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 28 09:00 AM |
West Coast FC Pre- Navy I |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
5–2 | 2.60 | 2.60 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Pateadores Pre- I 8th · 0-0-3 · GD -24 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 97% |
8–1 | 2.94 | 2.64 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
6–2 | 2.77 | 2.65 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 10:30 AM |
Legends FC PRE I 4th · 2-0-2 · GD +7 |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
4–2 | 2.30 | 2.62 | Bank it |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
3–3 | 1.49 | 2.53 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 10:30 AM |
LAFC Pre GOLD I 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +9 |
Home Surf Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
4–2 | 2.13 | 2.50 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf Pre- White I | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 6 | +24 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -1.48 | +0.28 | 100% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I · Sun Nov 1 at LAFC Pre GOLD I · Sun Nov 22 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.41 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at San Diego Surf Pre- White I · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Pre- I · Sun Nov 8 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | LAFC Pre GOLD I | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | +9 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.54 | -0.11 | 99% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Pateadores Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 at Legends FC PRE I · Sun Nov 1 vs San Diego Surf Pre- White I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Legends FC PRE I | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | -0.25 | -0.04 | 92% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I · Sun Oct 25 vs LAFC Pre GOLD I · Sun Nov 8 vs Legends FC PRE Gold I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | +0.67 | -0.10 | 9% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Legends FC PRE I · Sun Nov 1 at SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I · Sun Nov 8 vs LA Breakers Pre- Blue I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. |
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| 7 | SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 24 | -22 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +1.78 | -0.40 | 0% | 6.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores Pre- I · Sun Nov 1 vs CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I · Sun Nov 8 vs Sporting California USA Pre- RED I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Pateadores Pre- I | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 26 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.93 | +0.30 | 0% | 6.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs LAFC Pre GOLD I · Sun Oct 25 vs SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I · Sun Nov 1 at Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.