TableChase Clubs

Legends FC PRE I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 8 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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4th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+7 goal diff · 15–8
WLWLlast 4
92% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8
-0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Legends FC PRE I
4th · 1.50 PPG
vs
LAFC Pre GOLD I
3rd · 2.00 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.9 for, 3.0 against · 1.38 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC PRE ILAFC Pre GOLD I
Position4th3rd
Record (W-D-L)2-0-22-0-1
Points per game1.502.00
Goals for / game3.84.7
Goals against / game2.01.7
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W L WW L W
Biggest win8–0 vs Pateadores Pre- I7–1 at SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
Worst loss2–5 vs San Diego Surf Pre- White I1–3 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.81+1.36
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.25-0.54

Common opponents: SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I — we 4–0; they 7–1. Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I — we 1–3; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    LAFC Pre GOLD I concede only 1.7/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC Pre GOLD I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC PRE I – LAFC Pre GOLD I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.40 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
1.80 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1
Draw
1.40 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.20 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
92% top 4
8% below the top 4
3.8 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 24%
  4. 4th 65%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.50) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.42) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
3 LAFC Pre GOLD I 2.00 (+0.50) 3rd (1.97) 26 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection

How the results connect

8 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC PRE I to LAFC Pre GOLD I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
3 even
5 favour them
-2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–1 4–0 1–7 8–0 2–5 1–6 0–6 2–5 7–1 6–3 5–3 Legends FC PRE I 4th Beach Futbol Club P… 2nd SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 7th Pateadores Pre- I 8th San Diego Surf Pre-… 1st CDA Slammers FC Pre… 5th LAFC Pre GOLD I 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 15 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 3rd hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
03:00 PM
no score posted
CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Away
Santiago Charter Middle School
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
3–2 1.95 1.59 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
LAFC Pre GOLD I
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.38 1.55 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Legends FC PRE Gold I
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.97 1.61 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM
LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.97 1.66 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Rebels SC Pre- I
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.97 1.69 Swing game
Sun Mar 28
09:00 AM
LAFC Pre PLATINUM I
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.97 1.72 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
7th · 0-0-4 · GD -22
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.58 1.80 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.13 1.75 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -24
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
5–1 2.71 1.82 Bank it
Sun May 2
10:30 AM
CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
4–2 2.28 1.85 Bank it
Sat May 8
10:30 AM
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.58 1.77 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
LAFC Pre GOLD I
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Away
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.03 1.72 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4400 306+24 123.00 WWWW -1.48 +0.28 100% 1.6
2 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4400 185+13 123.00 WWWW -0.41 -0.22 100% 1.7
3 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3201 145+9 62.00 WLW -0.54 -0.11 99% 3.1
4 Legends FC PRE I 4202 158+7 61.50 WLWL -0.25 -0.04 92% 3.8
5 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4103 1219-7 30.75 LWLL +0.67 -0.10 9% 5.0
6 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
7 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4004 224-22 00.00 LLLL +1.78 -0.40 0% 6.3
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 226-24 00.00 LLL +0.93 +0.30 0% 6.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.