TableChase Clubs

LAFC Pre GOLD I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 8 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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3rd
2-0-1 record · 3 played
2.00 points per game
+9 goal diff · 14–5
WLWlast 3
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
-0.54 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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LAFC Pre GOLD I
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at
Legends FC PRE I
4th · 1.50 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 3.0 for, 2.9 against · 1.45 expected points)

Season so farLAFC Pre GOLD ILegends FC PRE I
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-12-0-2
Points per game2.001.50
Goals for / game4.73.8
Goals against / game1.72.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W L WL W L W
Biggest win7–1 at SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I8–0 vs Pateadores Pre- I
Worst loss1–3 vs Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I2–5 vs San Diego Surf Pre- White I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.36+0.81
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.54-0.25

Common opponents: SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I — we 7–1; they 4–0. Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I — we 1–3; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 43% / draw 17% / loss 40%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at Silverlakes Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC PRE I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC Pre GOLD I – Legends FC PRE I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.75 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.25 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.75 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
1.50 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 14%
  3. 3rd 57%
  4. 4th 24%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.50) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 3.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.42) 42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection

How the results connect

8 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC Pre GOLD I to Legends FC PRE I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
3 even
0 favour them
+2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–1 7–1 0–4 6–1 5–2 0–8 6–0 1–7 5–2 3–6 3–5 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3rd Beach Futbol Club P… 2nd SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 7th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 5th Pateadores Pre- I 8th San Diego Surf Pre-… 1st Legends FC PRE I 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 15 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 5th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted
Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -24
Away far trip
Vanguard University · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
6–1 2.81 2.20 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Legends FC PRE I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.45 2.05 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Home
Oak Park High School
●●●●○ Tough
31%
3–3 1.08 1.89 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:00 PM
Legends FC PRE Gold I
Home
Oak Park High School
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.19 1.93 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
LA Breakers Pre- Blue I
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.19 1.97 Swing game
Sun Mar 28
TBD
Rebels SC Pre- I
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.19 1.99 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
4–2 2.19 2.01 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
7th · 0-0-4 · GD -22
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 2.09 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Away
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 1.00 1.99 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD
Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -24
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
7–1 2.90 2.06 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
4–2 2.17 2.07 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Legends FC PRE I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.81 2.05 Swing game
Sun May 16
10:30 AM
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–4 0.74 1.97 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4400 306+24 123.00 WWWW -1.48 +0.28 100% 1.6
2 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4400 185+13 123.00 WWWW -0.41 -0.22 100% 1.7
3 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3201 145+9 62.00 WLW -0.54 -0.11 99% 3.1
4 Legends FC PRE I 4202 158+7 61.50 WLWL -0.25 -0.04 92% 3.8
5 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4103 1219-7 30.75 LWLL +0.67 -0.10 9% 5.0
6 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
7 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4004 224-22 00.00 LLLL +1.78 -0.40 0% 6.3
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 226-24 00.00 LLL +0.93 +0.30 0% 6.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.