TableChase Clubs

Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Southern Cal BU11 · 8 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

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2nd
4-0-0 record · 4 played
3.00 points per game
+13 goal diff · 18–5
WWWWlast 4
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.7
-0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I
2nd · 3.00 PPG
at

Surf Sports Park, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.8 for, 3.8 against · 0.99 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol Club Pre- White ISan Diego Surf Pre- White I
Position2nd1st
Record (W-D-L)4-0-04-0-0
Points per game3.003.00
Goals for / game4.57.5
Goals against / game1.31.5
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W WW W W W
Biggest win6–0 at SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I13–0 vs Pateadores Pre- I
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.83+2.89
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.41-1.48

Common opponents: CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I — we 6–3; they 5–3. Legends FC PRE I — we 3–1; they 5–2. SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I — we 6–0; they 7–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    San Diego Surf Pre- White I score 7.5/game — well above the league's 3.4.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    San Diego Surf Pre- White I concede only 1.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 28%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    San Diego Surf Pre- White I have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at Surf Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    San Diego Surf Pre- White I sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above San Diego Surf Pre- White I on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf Pre- White I game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I – San Diego Surf Pre- White I) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 2.40 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Draw
2.60 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.40 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

45% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.7 average finish
  1. 1st 45%
  2. 2nd 45%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 3.00 (+0.00) 1st (2.50) Win next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I to San Diego Surf Pre- White I through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 even
4 favour them
-0.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
6–0 1–7 3–1 2–5 6–3 3–5 4–0 3–1 7–1 8–0 0–13 6–1 5–2 Beach Futbol Club P… 2nd SDSC Surf Pre- Blue… 7th Legends FC PRE I 4th CDA Slammers FC Pre… 5th LAFC Pre GOLD I 3rd Pateadores Pre- I 8th San Diego Surf Pre-… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

5 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 15 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.22 · 6th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–3 0.99 2.60 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -24
Home
El Segundo High School
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
7–1 2.93 2.65 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Pre- Gold I
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
4–2 2.37 2.61 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
09:00 AM
Sporting California USA Pre- RED I
Home
El Segundo High School
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
4–2 2.37 2.58 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
TBD
West Coast FC Pre- Navy I
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
4–2 2.37 2.56 Bank it
Sun Mar 28
TBD
San Diego Surf Pre- Blue I
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
4–2 2.37 2.54 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD
CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I
5th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
5–1 2.60 2.55 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Legends FC PRE I
4th · 2-0-2 · GD +7
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
3–2 1.69 2.48 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD
LAFC Pre GOLD I
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +9
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.85 2.43 Swing game
Sat May 8
TBD
SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I
7th · 0-0-4 · GD -22
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
5–1 2.88 2.46 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
San Diego Surf Pre- White I
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +24
Home
●●●●○ Tough
40%
3–3 1.35 2.39 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Pateadores Pre- I
8th · 0-0-3 · GD -24
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
6–1 2.86 2.42 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf Pre- White I 4400 306+24 123.00 WWWW -1.48 +0.28 100% 1.6
2 Beach Futbol Club Pre- White I 4400 185+13 123.00 WWWW -0.41 -0.22 100% 1.7
3 LAFC Pre GOLD I 3201 145+9 62.00 WLW -0.54 -0.11 99% 3.1
4 Legends FC PRE I 4202 158+7 61.50 WLWL -0.25 -0.04 91% 3.8
5 CDA Slammers FC Pre Maroon I 4103 1219-7 30.75 LWLL +0.67 -0.10 10% 5.0
6 Eagles SC Eagles SC Pre- Blue I 0000 00+0 00.00 — — ——
7 SDSC Surf Pre- Blue I 4004 224-22 00.00 LLLL +1.78 -0.40 0% 6.3
8 Pateadores Pre- I 3003 226-24 00.00 LLL +0.93 +0.30 0% 6.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.