Sting Pre- M Williams
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3B ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.9 for, 4.2 against · 0.18 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting Pre- M Williams | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-4 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 0.5 | 3.4 |
| Goals against / game | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L | L W W W L |
| Biggest win | — | 6–1 vs NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira | 1–3 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.81 | +1.24 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.06 | -0.24 |
Common opponents: Fever United FC Pre — we 0–5; they 6–1. Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado — we 1–3; they 4–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans score 3.4/game — well above the league's 2.4.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans concede only 1.2/game with 1 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 vs Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira, 0–5 vs Fever United FC Pre.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 4%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado sit 8th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Pre- M Williams – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.60 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.20 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th 1%
- 8th 16%
- 9th 83%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.50 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.71) | 24 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (2.08) | 16 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 1.80 (+1.80) | 3rd (1.82) | 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Fever United FC Pre | 1.80 (+1.80) | 4th (1.78) | 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | SOLAR PRE- GARCIA | 1.67 (+1.67) | 5th (1.48) | 14 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 1.17 (+1.17) | 6th (1.25) | 10 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 7 | NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume | 1.17 (+1.17) | 7th (1.21) | 10 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 8 | Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado | 0.50 (+0.50) | 8th (0.50) | A point next game |
How the results connect
16 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Sting Pre- M Williams to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.35 · 3rd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +11 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–4 | 0.18 | 0.04 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -7 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.61 | 0.13 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM |
Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford 2nd · 4-0-2 · GD +15 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.22 | 0.14 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 12:30 PM |
NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -8 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.84 | 0.23 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.53 | +0.85 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Fever United FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWWL | +0.02 | -0.85 | 98% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- GARCIA · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Pre- M Williams See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 9 | 1.80 | LWWWL | -0.24 | +0.03 | 83% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- M Williams · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- GARCIA · Sun Nov 8 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Fever United FC Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | -0.14 | +0.12 | 79% | 3.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira · Sun Nov 1 vs NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | SOLAR PRE- GARCIA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 10 | 1.67 | LWDWL | -0.50 | +1.41 | 28% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 7 | 1.17 | LDLWL | +0.43 | -0.67 | 7% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- M Williams · Sun Nov 8 at Fever United FC Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 7 | 1.17 | LLDLW | +0.38 | -0.67 | 5% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Fever United FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Sting Pre- M Williams See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 31 | -22 | 4 | 0.50 | LLDLW | +0.25 | — | 0% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Sting Pre- M Williams | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 15 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.06 | +0.35 | 0% | 8.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.