Fever United FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU12 · 9 teams · Fever United (all teams)

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4th

3-0-2 record · 5 played

1.80 points per game

+4 goal diff · 13–9

WWWLLlast 5

79% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.9

-0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:30 AM

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Fever United FC Pre
4th · 1.80 PPG

Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira
1st · 3.00 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1A ↗

25% 18% 58%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.8 against · 0.92 expected points)

Season so far	Fever United FC Pre	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira
Position	4th	1st
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-2	6-0-0
Points per game	1.80	3.00
Goals for / game	2.6	4.2
Goals against / game	1.8	1.2
Clean sheets	1	3
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	L L W W W	W W W W W
Biggest win	5–0 at Sting Pre- M Williams	5–0 at Sting Pre- M Williams
Worst loss	1–6 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.47	+1.79
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.14	-0.53

Common opponents: Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford — we 3–1; they 1–0. Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado — we 4–1; they 3–0. Sting Pre- M Williams — we 5–0; they 5–0. SOLAR PRE- GARCIA — we 0–1; they 4–3.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira score 4.2/game — well above the league's 2.4.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira concede only 1.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at SOLAR PRE- GARCIA.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 25%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira have won 6 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:30 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
What a win does
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans sit 3rd on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.80.
A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fever United FC Pre – Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 1.50 PPG	5th▼ down 1	4th— holds	5th▼ down 1
Win 2.00 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	4th— holds	4th— holds
Draw 1.67 PPG	4th— holds	4th— holds	5th▼ down 1
Loss 1.50 PPG	5th▼ down 1	4th— holds	5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

79% top 4

22% below the top 4

3.9 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 8%
3rd 29%
4th 42%
5th 11%
6th 6%
7th 4%
8th
9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira	3.00 (+1.20)	1st (2.71)	15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford	2.00 (+0.20)	2nd (2.08)	Win next game
3	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans	1.80 (+0.00)	3rd (1.82)	A point next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Fever United FC Pre to Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us

4 even

12 favour them

-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 4th hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 08:30 AM	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +18	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	25%	1–2	0.92	1.65	Upside
Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -8	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	3–2	2.20	1.73	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 12:30 PM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -7	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	66%	3–1	2.14	1.78	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira

+18

3.00

WWWWW

-0.53

+0.85

100%

1.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	7–2
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	1–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	4–3
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	5–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Fever United FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	2–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford

+15

2.00

WLWWL

+0.02

-0.85

99%

2.3

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	0–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	7–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	6–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	7–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	1–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR PRE- GARCIA · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Pre- M Williams See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	3–0	88%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans

+11

1.80

LWWWL

-0.24

+0.03

82%

3.5

L	Sun Oct 11	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	1–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	6–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	6–1
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- M Williams · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- GARCIA · Sun Nov 8 at Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	1–2	28%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fever United FC Pre

1.80

WWWLL

-0.14

+0.12

79%

3.9

L	Sun Oct 11	at	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	1–6
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	3–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira · Sun Nov 1 vs NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	3–2	69%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	3–1	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- GARCIA

1.67

LWDWL

-0.50

+1.41

28%

4.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	3–4
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	1–0
D	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	1–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	3–4
W	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	3–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes

-7

1.17

LDLWL

+0.43

-0.67

6.1

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	2–7
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	2–6
D	Sun Sep 27	at	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	4–2

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- M Williams · Sun Nov 8 at Fever United FC Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	1–3	19%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume

-8

1.17

LLDLW

+0.38

-0.67

6.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	4–3
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	2–5
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	1–6
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	1–7
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	7–2

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Fever United FC Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Sting Pre- M Williams See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	2–3	18%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sting Pre- M Williams (9th)	3–2	61%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado

-22

0.50

LLDLW

+0.25

—

8.1

Sting Pre- M Williams

-13

0.00

LLLL

+0.06

+0.35

8.8

L	Sun Oct 11	at	Sting WTX Pre- Alvarado (8th)	1–3
L	Sun Oct 4	at	SOLAR PRE- GARCIA (5th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Fever United FC Pre (4th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Texas Warriors FC Pre- Perreira (1st)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Evans (3rd)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- P Reyes (6th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre B Bradford (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	NTX UNITED FC - Pre- Hume (7th)	2–3	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.42 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.