TableChase Clubs

Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

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6th
2-2-3 record · 7 played
1.14 points per game
-15 goal diff · 14–29
DWDLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.8
-0.66 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 10, 05:00 PM

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Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi
6th · 1.14 PPG
vs
Albion SC Dallas Pre
4th · 2.50 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.3 for, 5.8 against · 0.10 expected points)

Season so farSting WTX Pre- KobayashiAlbion SC Dallas Pre
Position6th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-35-0-1
Points per game1.142.50
Goals for / game2.07.5
Goals against / game4.10.5
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L D W DW W W L W
Biggest win5–0 at SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY14–1 at SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY
Worst loss0–13 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores0–1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.64+4.05
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.66-2.27

Common opponents: Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede — we 1–3; they 4–0. SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY — we 5–0; they 14–1. TAG Soccer Pre Perez — we 2–2; they 5–0. DKSC Pre- Shams — we 4–2; they 9–0. Sting Pre- Soderholm — we 1–1; they 13–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Albion SC Dallas Pre score 7.5/game — well above the league's 4.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Albion SC Dallas Pre concede only 0.5/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–13 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Albion SC Dallas Pre have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Albion SC Dallas Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi – Albion SC Dallas Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 5 – Sun Oct 11); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
1.38 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.13 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds
Loss
1.00 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 6th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
6.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 18%
  7. 7th 82%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 1.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores 2.67 (+1.53) 2nd (2.56) 14 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides 2.67 (+1.53) 1st (2.72) 14 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones 2.50 (+1.36) 4th (2.20) 12 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Albion SC Dallas Pre 2.50 (+1.36) 3rd (2.43) 12 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede 1.50 (+0.36) 5th (1.49) 4 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

26 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi to Albion SC Dallas Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
26 favour them
-7.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 0–5 1–3 0–4 4–2 0–9 5–0 1–14 1–1 1–13 0–2 1–0 1–8 17–1 7–1 0–13 20–0 7–3 8–3 3–1 Sting WTX Pre- Koba… 6th TAG Soccer Pre Perez 7th Atlético Dallas You… 5th DKSC Pre- Shams 8th SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 10th Sting Pre- Soderholm 9th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 3rd FC Dallas Youth Pre… 1st Dallas Texans Pre- … 2nd Albion SC Dallas Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +4.05 · 2nd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 10
05:00 PM
no score posted		 Albion SC Dallas Pre
4th · 5-0-1 · GD +42		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.10 1.01 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores 6510 665+61 162.67 DWWWW -2.00 +0.51 100% 1.9
2 Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides 6510 301+29 162.67 DWWWW +0.33 -2.84 100% 1.6
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones 6501 514+47 152.50 WWWWW -2.33 +5.11 100% 3.4
4 Albion SC Dallas Pre 6501 453+42 152.50 WLWWW -2.27 +1.39 100% 3.1
5 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede 6303 1220-8 91.50 WLLLW +1.22 -1.38 0% 5.0
6 Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi 7223 1429-15 81.14 DWDLL -0.66 +4.05 0% 6.8
7 TAG Soccer Pre Perez 6114 1027-17 40.67 LDWLL +1.19 -5.53 0% 6.2
8 DKSC Pre- Shams 6105 1345-32 30.50 WLLLL +0.71 +0.07 0% 8.0
9 Sting Pre- Soderholm 6015 555-50 10.17 LDLLL +1.69 +0.90 0% 9.2
10 SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 5005 461-57 00.00 LLLLL +3.32 -1.84 0% 9.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (4.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.