FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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3rd

5-0-1 record · 6 played

2.50 points per game

+47 goal diff · 51–4

WWWWWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.5

-2.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones
3rd · 2.50 PPG

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores
1st · 2.67 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗

39% 15% 46%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 3–3 (expected goals 3.6 for, 3.9 against · 1.33 expected points)

Season so far	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores
Position	3rd	1st
Record (W-D-L)	5-0-1	5-1-0
Points per game	2.50	2.67
Goals for / game	8.5	11.0
Goals against / game	0.7	0.8
Clean sheets	2	3
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	W W W W W	W W W W D
Biggest win	17–1 vs SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY	20–0 at Sting Pre- Soderholm
Worst loss	0–1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+4.42	+6.16
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-2.33	-2.00

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides — we 0–1; they 1–1. SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY — we 17–1; they 13–2. Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede — we 7–1; they 7–2. Sting Pre- Soderholm — we 10–0; they 20–0. Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi — we 8–1; they 13–0.

Game plan

Respect their attack
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores score 11.0/game — well above the league's 4.0.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores concede only 0.8/game with 3 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 39%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores have won 4 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.29 PPG	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1
Win 2.57 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1
Draw 2.29 PPG	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1
Loss 2.14 PPG	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1	4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–3 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

3.5 average finish

1st 2%
2nd 13%
3rd 23%
4th 62%
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores	2.67 (+0.17)	2nd (2.56)	7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection
2	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides	2.67 (+0.17)	1st (2.72)	7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

22 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us

2 even

15 favour them

-3.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +5.11 · 1st hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 08:00 AM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +61	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	39%	3–3	1.33	2.33	Upside
Sat Nov 7 02:30 PM	Albion SC Dallas Pre 4th · 5-0-1 · GD +42	Away Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	36%	2–3	1.26	2.20	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores

+61

2.67

DWWWW

-2.00

+0.51

100%

1.9

W	Sun Oct 11	at	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	20–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	13–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	7–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	13–2
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	12–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones · Sun Nov 1 vs DKSC Pre- Shams See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	3–3	46%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	9–1	100%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides

+29

2.67

DWWWW

+0.33

-2.84

100%

1.5

W	Sun Oct 18	at	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	12–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	13–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	1–0
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	1–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede · Sun Nov 1 at Sting Pre- Soderholm See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	4–0	91%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	7–0	99%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones

+47

2.50

WWWWW

-2.33

+5.11

100%

3.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	9–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	8–1
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	10–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	7–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	17–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores · Sat Nov 7 at Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	3–3	39%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	2–3	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Albion SC Dallas Pre

+42

2.50

WLWWW

-2.27

+1.39

100%

3.1

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	13–1
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	4–0
W	Sun Oct 4	at	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	14–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	9–0

Next: Sat Oct 10 at Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	at	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	3–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede

-8

1.50

WLLLW

+1.22

-1.38

5.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	0–4
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	2–7
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	1–7
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	3–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides · Sun Nov 1 vs SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	6–1	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi

-15

1.14

DWDLL

-0.66

+4.05

6.8

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	1–8
L	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	0–13
D	Sun Sep 27	at	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	at	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	5–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 10 vs Albion SC Dallas Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 10 (no score yet)	vs	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	1–5	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

TAG Soccer Pre Perez

-17

0.67

LDWLL

+1.19

-5.53

6.1

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	1–3
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	7–3
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	0–12

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Pre- Soderholm · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	5–1	83%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	5–2	86%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Shams

-32

0.50

WLLLL

+0.71

+0.07

8.0

L	Sun Oct 18	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	0–9
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–13
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	3–7
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	2–4
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Sting Pre- Soderholm (9th)	8–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	0–9

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY (10th)	6–3	77%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	1–9	0%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Soderholm

-50

0.17

LDLLL

+1.69

+0.90

9.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	1–13
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	0–20
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	0–10
D	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	3–8
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 at TAG Soccer Pre Perez · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	1–5	8%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–7	0%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY

-57

0.00

LLLLL

+3.32

-1.84

9.8

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides (2nd)	0–12
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Albion SC Dallas Pre (4th)	1–14
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores (1st)	2–13
L	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones (3rd)	1–17
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi (6th)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 at DKSC Pre- Shams · Sun Nov 1 at Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede · Sat Nov 7 at TAG Soccer Pre Perez See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	DKSC Pre- Shams (8th)	3–6	14%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede (5th)	1–6	4%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	TAG Soccer Pre Perez (7th)	2–5	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (4.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.