SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY

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Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4A ↗

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 3–6 (expected goals 3.5 for, 6.6 against · 0.51 expected points)

Common opponents: Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi — we 0–5; they 2–4. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones — we 1–17; they 0–9. Albion SC Dallas Pre — we 1–14; they 0–9. Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides — we 0–12; they 0–13.

• They leak goals — be greedy
  DKSC Pre- Shams concede 7.5/game; worst result 0–13 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides.

  Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 vs Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi, 0–12 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Underdog — play free, stay organised
  Model gives 14%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

  Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

• Confidence is low on their side
  DKSC Pre- Shams have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

  Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

• Away game
  Kickoff 08:00 AM at Fairview Soccer Park .

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• Early kickoff
  Game time 08:00 AM.

  Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

• What a win does
  Sting Pre- Soderholm sit 9th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.

  A point moves us above Sting Pre- Soderholm on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the DKSC Pre- Shams game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY – DKSC Pre- Shams) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–6 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd
4. 4th
5. 5th
6. 6th <1%
7. 7th <1%
8. 8th 2%
9. 9th 19%
10. 10th 79%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.13 PPG if we win out).