TableChase Clubs

Albion SC Dallas Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 10 teams · Albion SC Dallas (all teams)

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4th
5-0-1 record · 6 played
2.50 points per game
+42 goal diff · 45–3
WLWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
-2.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 02:30 PM

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Albion SC Dallas Pre
4th · 2.50 PPG
vs
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones
3rd · 2.50 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 3B ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.8 against · 1.57 expected points)

Season so farAlbion SC Dallas PreFC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones
Position4th3rd
Record (W-D-L)5-0-15-0-1
Points per game2.502.50
Goals for / game7.58.5
Goals against / game0.50.7
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W W W L WW W W W W
Biggest win14–1 at SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY17–1 vs SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY
Worst loss0–1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides0–1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+4.05+4.42
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-2.27-2.33

Common opponents: DKSC Pre- Shams — we 9–0; they 9–0. Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides — we 0–1; they 0–1. SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY — we 14–1; they 17–1. Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede — we 4–0; they 7–1. Sting Pre- Soderholm — we 13–1; they 10–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones score 8.5/game — well above the league's 4.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones concede only 0.7/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 17% / loss 36%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones sit 3rd on 2.50 PPG; we are on 2.50.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Albion SC Dallas Pre – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.57 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1
Win
2.57 PPG		 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 1
Draw
2.29 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
2.14 PPG		 4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 24%
  3. 3rd 35%
  4. 4th 39%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 2 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores 2.67 (+0.17) 2nd (2.56) 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 6 for their projection
2 Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides 2.67 (+0.17) 1st (2.72) 7 of 6 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones 2.50 (+0.00) 4th (2.20) A point next game

How the results connect

21 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Albion SC Dallas Pre to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
4 even
9 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–0 9–0 0–9 13–1 0–10 4–0 1–7 14–1 1–17 5–0 7–3 2–4 1–8 3–1 0–5 3–8 0–12 2–2 Albion SC Dallas Pre 4th Dallas Texans Pre- … 2nd DKSC Pre- Shams 8th Sting Pre- Soderholm 9th Atlético Dallas You… 5th SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 10th TAG Soccer Pre Perez 7th Sting WTX Pre- Koba… 6th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +1.39 · 3rd hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 10
05:00 PM
no score posted		 Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi
6th · 2-2-3 · GD -15		 Away
Fairview Soccer Park 		●○○○○ Favorable
94%		 5–1 2.86 2.55 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
02:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +47		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 3–2 1.57 2.43 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Flores 6510 665+61 162.67 DWWWW -2.00 +0.51 100% 1.9
2 Dallas Texans Pre- Benavides 6510 301+29 162.67 DWWWW +0.33 -2.84 100% 1.6
3 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Jones 6501 514+47 152.50 WWWWW -2.33 +5.11 100% 3.4
4 Albion SC Dallas Pre 6501 453+42 152.50 WLWWW -2.27 +1.39 100% 3.1
5 Atlético Dallas Youth Pre- Vordtriede 6303 1220-8 91.50 WLLLW +1.22 -1.38 0% 5.0
6 Sting WTX Pre- Kobayashi 7223 1429-15 81.14 DWDLL -0.66 +4.05 0% 6.8
7 TAG Soccer Pre Perez 6114 1027-17 40.67 LDWLL +1.19 -5.53 0% 6.2
8 DKSC Pre- Shams 6105 1345-32 30.50 WLLLL +0.71 +0.07 0% 8.0
9 Sting Pre- Soderholm 6015 555-50 10.17 LDLLL +1.69 +0.90 0% 9.2
10 SOLAR PRE- TREMBLAY 5005 461-57 00.00 LLLLL +3.32 -1.84 0% 9.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (4.00 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.