DKSC Pre Arana
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 9 teams · DKSC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM
Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.4 against · 0.29 expected points)
| Season so far | DKSC Pre Arana | Sting Pre- Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-1-3 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 0.8 | 3.5 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L L L | L W W W |
| Biggest win | — | 5–0 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo |
| Worst loss | 0–5 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo | 1–2 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.14 | +1.19 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.48 | -0.49 |
Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez — we 1–4; they 4–2. NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo — we 0–5; they 5–0. Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz — we 1–2; they 1–2.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Sting Pre- Ortiz score 3.5/game — well above the league's 2.2.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
Sting Pre- Ortiz concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 6%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sting Pre- Ortiz game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC Pre Arana – Sting Pre- Ortiz) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.20 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Win 0.80 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Draw 0.40 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.20 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 11%
- 8th 78%
- 9th 10%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.63 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz | 3.00 (+2.75) | 1st (2.63) | 23 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Sting Pre- Ortiz | 2.25 (+2.00) | 3rd (2.02) | 17 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin | 2.25 (+2.00) | 2nd (2.14) | 17 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez | 1.80 (+1.55) | 5th (1.53) | 14 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection |
| 5 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 1.50 (+1.25) | 4th (1.63) | 11 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine | 1.40 (+1.15) | 6th (1.51) | 11 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection |
| 7 | NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo | 1.00 (+0.75) | 7th (0.96) | 7 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection |
How the results connect
12 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link DKSC Pre Arana to Sting Pre- Ortiz through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.11 · 7th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 05:00 PM |
Sting Pre- Ortiz 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
0–3 | 0.29 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 12:30 PM |
SOLAR PRE- HEDGES 9th · 0-0-6 · GD -32 |
Away Fairview Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 0.59 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 02:00 PM |
Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 0.58 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 12:30 PM |
NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home Fairview Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.55 | 0.58 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.33 | +0.59 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine · Sat Nov 7 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Sting Pre- Ortiz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.49 | +0.32 | 89% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC Pre Arana · Sun Oct 25 vs NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WLWW | +0.58 | -0.71 | 94% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- HEDGES · Sun Oct 25 at Sting Pre- Ortiz · Sat Oct 31 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 9 | 1.80 | WLWLW | -0.50 | +0.81 | 28% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin · Sat Nov 7 at Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz · Sun Nov 8 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.34 | +0.09 | 52% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo · Sun Nov 1 at DKSC Pre Arana · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Pre- Ortiz See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 7 | 1.40 | WLWDL | -0.43 | +0.62 | 35% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Ortiz · Sun Nov 1 vs NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 20 | +0 | 6 | 1.00 | WLWLL | -0.18 | +0.78 | 1% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | DKSC Pre Arana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 1 | 0.25 | LLLD | +0.48 | -0.11 | 0% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Pre- Ortiz · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- HEDGES · Sun Nov 1 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | SOLAR PRE- HEDGES | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 33 | -32 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.64 | -0.14 | 0% | 8.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC Pre Arana See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.