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Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU11 · 9 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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1st
6-0-0 record · 6 played
3.00 points per game
+8 goal diff · 15–7
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.2
-0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 05:00 PM

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Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz
1st · 3.00 PPG
at

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.6 against · 1.21 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans Pre- BoazFC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)6-0-02-1-2
Points per game3.001.40
Goals for / game2.52.2
Goals against / game1.20.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WL D W L W
Biggest win3–0 at SOLAR PRE- HEDGES7–0 at SOLAR PRE- HEDGES
Worst loss—0–1 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.77+0.77
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.33-0.43

Common opponents: Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black — we 2–1; they 0–1. NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin — we 3–2; they 1–2. DKSC Pre Arana — we 2–1; they 1–1. SOLAR PRE- HEDGES — we 3–0; they 7–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:00 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.71 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.71 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.57 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

79% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.2 average finish
  1. 1st 79%
  2. 2nd 18%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

16 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 1–1 3–2 2–1 2–1 1–0 3–0 0–7 0–2 3–2 3–6 6–1 2–1 4–2 0–2 4–5 4–0 8–0 0–5 Dallas Texans Pre- … 1st DKSC Pre Arana 8th NTX UNITED FC Pre- … 3rd Dallas Cosmos SC Pr… 5th SOLAR PRE- HEDGES 9th NTX Celtic FC Pre- … 7th Sting Pre- Ortiz 2nd Atletico Dallas You… 4th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.59 · 4th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
05:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine
6th · 2-1-2 · GD +7
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.21 2.74 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:30 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez
4th · 3-0-2 · GD +5
Home
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.84 2.63 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Dallas Texans Pre- Boaz 6600 157+8 183.00 WWWWW -0.33 +0.59 100% 1.2
2 Sting Pre- Ortiz 4301 144+10 92.25 WWWL -0.49 +0.32 90% 2.9
3 NTX UNITED FC Pre- Fannin 4301 127+5 92.25 WLWW +0.58 -0.71 95% 2.6
4 Atletico Dallas Youth Pre Rodriguez 5302 1611+5 91.80 WLWLW -0.50 +0.81 29% 5.1
5 Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black 4202 104+6 61.50 LWLW -0.34 +0.09 52% 4.5
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Raine 5212 114+7 71.40 WLWDL -0.43 +0.62 33% 4.9
7 NTX Celtic FC Pre- Del Olmo 6204 2020+0 61.00 WLWLL -0.18 +0.78 1% 6.9
8 DKSC Pre Arana 4013 312-9 10.25 LLLD +0.48 -0.11 0% 8.0
9 SOLAR PRE- HEDGES 6006 133-32 00.00 LLLLL +0.64 -0.14 0% 8.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.