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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 11 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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7th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
-3 goal diff · 10–13
WLLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.1
+0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:00 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic
7th · 1.20 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 18 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.5 for, 3.4 against · 0.51 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Pre- RedzicFC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera
Position7th2nd
Record (W-D-L)2-0-34-0-0
Points per game1.203.00
Goals for / game2.03.5
Goals against / game2.61.3
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W L L WW W W W
Biggest win4–0 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC4–1 at Alpha Forms Pre
Worst loss1–5 vs Sting Pre- Lucero—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.40+1.34
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.14+0.11

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- KATIC — we 4–0; they 3–1. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West — we 0–3; they 5–3.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera concede only 1.2/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West sit 6th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.20.

    A win moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG		 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.50 PPG		 7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 7th— holds
Draw
1.17 PPG		 8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG		 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
7.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 13%
  7. 7th 53%
  8. 8th 29%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sting Pre- Lucero 3.00 (+1.80) 1st (2.74) 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera 3.00 (+1.80) 2nd (2.66) 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 SOLAR PRE- JAIME 2.50 (+1.30) 3rd (2.33) 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia 2.00 (+0.80) 4th (1.94) 10 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Alpha Forms Pre 1.50 (+0.30) 6th (1.51) Win next game
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West 1.50 (+0.30) 5th (1.68) Win next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-3.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 1–3 0–3 3–5 1–2 1–4 1–5 5–2 2–7 0–2 1–3 3–2 4–2 1–6 2–3 2–4 0–4 FC Dallas Youth Pre… 7th SOLAR PRE- KATIC 11th FC Dallas Youth Pre… 6th Sting Pre- Lucero 1st Dallas Texans Red P… 4th SOLAR PRE- CASTRO 9th Alpha Forms Pre 5th SOLAR PRE- JAIME 3rd FC Dallas Youth Pre… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 6th 11th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.68 · 10th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
02:00 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.51 1.09 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:30 PM		 DKSC Pre- Arana Black
8th · 2-0-3 · GD -6		 Away
Fairview Soccer Park 		●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.35 1.12 Upside
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM		 Kernow Storm FC Pre
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -26		 Home
Fairview Soccer Park 		●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 4–1 2.47 1.29 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sting Pre- Lucero 5500 345+29 153.00 WWWWW -1.09 +0.12 100% 1.4
2 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera 4400 145+9 123.00 WWWW +0.11 -0.53 100% 1.9
3 SOLAR PRE- JAIME 6501 219+12 152.50 WWLWW -0.32 +0.63 99% 2.8
4 Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia 6402 1811+7 122.00 WWWWL -0.22 -0.15 74% 4.2
5 Alpha Forms Pre 6303 1710+7 91.50 LLWLW -0.10 +0.63 9% 5.7
6 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West 6303 1817+1 91.50 LWLWL +0.59 -1.69 18% 5.3
7 FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic 5203 1013-3 61.20 WLLWL +0.14 -0.68 0% 7.1
8 DKSC Pre- Arana Black 5203 915-6 61.20 LWLLW +0.31 +0.41 0% 7.6
9 SOLAR PRE- CASTRO 5104 823-15 30.60 LLLLW -0.19 +1.11 0% 9.3
10 Kernow Storm FC Pre 6105 834-26 30.50 LWLLL +0.38 -0.06 0% 9.8
11 SOLAR PRE- KATIC 6006 621-15 00.00 LLLLL -0.02 +1.90 0% 10.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.