DKSC Pre- Arana Black

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Texas BU10 · 11 teams · DKSC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 minute ago. Next available update in 58:51.

Add schedule to calendar

8th

2-0-3 record · 5 played

1.20 points per game

-6 goal diff · 9–15

LWLLWlast 5

1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.6

+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

Open the match preview →

DKSC Pre- Arana Black
8th · 1.20 PPG

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West
6th · 1.50 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 4B ↗

31% 17% 51%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.9 against · 1.12 expected points)

Season so far	DKSC Pre- Arana Black	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West
Position	8th	6th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-3	3-0-3
Points per game	1.20	1.50
Goals for / game	1.8	3.0
Goals against / game	3.0	2.8
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	1	1
Form (recent first)	W L L W L	L W L W L
Biggest win	4–0 vs SOLAR PRE- CASTRO	6–1 at SOLAR PRE- CASTRO
Worst loss	1–7 vs SOLAR PRE- JAIME	0–4 vs Alpha Forms Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.62	+0.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.31	+0.59

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia — we 0–1; they 4–2. Sting Pre- Lucero — we 1–6; they 2–5. SOLAR PRE- CASTRO — we 4–0; they 6–1.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 31%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
What a win does
FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic sit 7th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.20.
A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC Pre- Arana Black – FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.17 PPG	8th— holds	7th▲ up 1	8th— holds
Win 1.50 PPG	6th▲ up 2	6th▲ up 2	8th— holds
Draw 1.17 PPG	8th— holds	7th▲ up 1	8th— holds
Loss 1.00 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	8th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

1% top 4

100% below the top 4

7.6 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th 1%
5th 3%
6th 5%
7th 23%
8th 66%
9th 2%
10th
11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Sting Pre- Lucero	3.00 (+1.80)	1st (2.74)	18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera	3.00 (+1.80)	2nd (2.66)	18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	SOLAR PRE- JAIME	2.50 (+1.30)	3rd (2.33)	14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia	2.00 (+0.80)	4th (1.94)	10 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5	Alpha Forms Pre	1.50 (+0.30)	6th (1.51)	Win next game
6	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West	1.50 (+0.30)	5th (1.68)	Win next game
7	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic	1.20 (+0.00)	7th (1.29)	A point next game

How the results connect

15 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC Pre- Arana Black to FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

12 favour them

-1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.41 · 5th hardest of 11

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West 6th · 3-0-3 · GD +1	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	31%	2–2	1.12	1.19	Upside
Sat Oct 31 12:30 PM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -3	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	42%	2–2	1.46	1.22	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 08:00 AM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9	Away Fairview Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	11%	1–3	0.44	1.13	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Sting Pre- Lucero

+29

3.00

WWWWW

-1.09

+0.12

100%

1.4

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	10–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	6–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	5–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	8–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Alpha Forms Pre · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- JAIME · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- KATIC See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	3–1	66%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	3–2	60%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	5–1	94%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera

3.00

WWWW

+0.11

-0.53

100%

1.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	5–3
W	Sat Oct 3	at	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	4–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia · Sat Nov 7 vs DKSC Pre- Arana Black See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	4–1	84%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- JAIME

+12

2.50

WWLWW

-0.32

+0.63

99%

2.8

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	3–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	7–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	7–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sting Pre- Lucero · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR PRE- CASTRO See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	4–1	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia

2.00

WWWWL

-0.22

-0.15

73%

4.2

L	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	7–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	2–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs SOLAR PRE- KATIC · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	1–2	26%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Alpha Forms Pre

1.50

LLWLW

-0.10

+0.63

10%

5.7

W	Sun Oct 18	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	8–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Pre- Lucero · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- CASTRO See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	3–1	76%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West

1.50

LWLWL

+0.59

-1.69

17%

5.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	3–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	3–5
W	Sat Oct 3	at	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	6–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	2–5
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	4–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC Pre- Arana Black · Sun Oct 25 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	2–2	51%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	5–1	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic

-3

1.20

WLLWL

+0.14

-0.68

7.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	4–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	4–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Arana Black · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC Pre See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	4–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Arana Black

-6

1.20

LWLLW

+0.31

+0.41

7.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	1–6
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	1–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- CASTRO

-15

0.60

LLLLW

-0.19

+1.11

9.3

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	5–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	1–6
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	0–8

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Alpha Forms Pre · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR PRE- JAIME · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	1–4	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kernow Storm FC Pre

-26

0.50

LWLLL

+0.38

-0.06

9.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	SOLAR PRE- CASTRO (9th)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	1–10
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	1–7
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- KATIC (11th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	1–8

Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Springs West (6th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	1–4	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR PRE- KATIC

-15

0.00

LLLLL

-0.02

+1.90

10.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Vera (2nd)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR PRE- JAIME (3rd)	2–7
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Alpha Forms Pre (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Kernow Storm FC Pre (10th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	DKSC Pre- Arana Black (8th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Redzic (7th)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Pre- Lucero See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Red Pre- Garcia (4th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sting Pre- Lucero (1st)	1–5	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.64 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.