Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- GMA BU11 · 9 teams · Cap City Athletic 1847 (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:00 PM
Portage Soccer Complex, Field 2S ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.2 for, 1.9 against · 1.55 expected points)
| Season so far | Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | Portage SC Pre- Green |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-0 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W W | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 6–2 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE | 2–0 at Detroit City FC West Pre |
| Worst loss | — | 1–2 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.88 | +0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.16 | -0.13 |
Common opponents: Nationals SC Capital Area Pre — we 1–0; they 4–3. Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE — we 6–2; they 3–2. TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue — we 2–2; they 1–2.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 45% / draw 20% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 05:00 PM at Portage Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Portage SC Pre- Green game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre – Portage SC Pre- Green) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.60 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.60 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.20 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 65%
- 2nd 16%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 6%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
13 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre to Portage SC Pre- Green through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
13 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 5th hardest of 9
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 05:00 PM |
Portage SC Pre- Green 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Portage Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.55 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 10:30 AM |
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +3 |
Home East Lansing Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.82 | 2.23 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 03:00 PM |
Detroit City FC West Pre 8th · 1-1-3 · GD -8 |
Home East Lansing Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.44 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Michigan Burn Pre Black 5th · 2-1-2 · GD +1 |
Home East Lansing Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 2.22 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Premier Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–1 | 1.54 | 2.14 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 10 | 2.50 | WWWD | -0.16 | -0.01 | 97% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Portage SC Pre- Green · Sun Nov 1 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Nov 8 vs Detroit City FC West Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | WDWDD | +0.35 | -0.61 | 90% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Michigan Burn Pre Black · Sun Oct 25 at Detroit City FC West Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Portage SC Pre- Green | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.13 | -0.09 | 75% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Michigan Burn Pre Black · Sun Oct 11 at Michigan Rangers FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 10 | 1.67 | DLWWL | -0.10 | -0.01 | 61% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Portage SC Pre- Green · Sat Oct 24 at Michigan Rangers FC Pre · Sat Oct 31 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Michigan Burn Pre Black | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | LWLDW | -0.43 | +0.56 | 16% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Portage SC Pre- Green · Sun Sep 20 at TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Nationals SC Capital Area Pre | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 8 | 1.33 | DWLDW | -0.18 | -0.16 | 47% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Nov 8 vs Michigan Burn Pre Black · Sun May 2 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Michigan Rangers FC Pre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 6 | 1.00 | WLWLL | +0.24 | -0.46 | 13% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Portage SC Pre- Green · Sat Oct 24 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sun Nov 8 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Detroit City FC West Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDWL | +0.15 | +0.11 | 1% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE · Sun Oct 25 vs TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 8 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 | 0.25 | LLDL | +0.44 | +0.06 | 0% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Detroit City FC West Pre · Sat Oct 31 vs Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY · Sat Nov 7 at TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.