Result · Sunday, Oct 11, 12:30 PM
Nationals SC Capital Area Pre 3–4 Portage SC Pre- Green
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 31% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 50% home, 19% draw, 31% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | Nationals SC Capital Area Pre | Portage SC Pre- Green |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-2-2 | 3-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 1.80 |
| Goals for / game | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W D | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 vs Michigan Rangers FC Pre | 2–0 at Detroit City FC West Pre |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre | 1–2 at Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.58 | +0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.18 | -0.13 |
Already met this season: Oct 11 3–4 (home for Nationals SC Capital Area Pre)
Common opponents: Detroit City FC West Pre — Nationals SC Capital Area Pre 2–2; Portage SC Pre- Green 2–0. TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue — Nationals SC Capital Area Pre 4–4; Portage SC Pre- Green 1–2. Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE — Nationals SC Capital Area Pre 5–1; Portage SC Pre- Green 3–2.
What's at stake
| Nationals SC Capital Area Pre | Portage SC Pre- Green | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 3rd |
| Games left | 4 | 5 |
| Chance of top 4 | 47% | 75% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 11% |
| Average finish | 4.6 | 3.5 |
How the results connect
11 chains
8 favour Nationals SC Capital Area Pre, 2 favour Portage SC Pre- Green, 1 even; average margin +1.5 goals toward Nationals SC Capital Area Pre.
- -1Nationals SC Capital Area Pre lost to Portage SC Pre- Green 3–4
- +1Nationals SC Capital Area Pre drew with TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue 4–4 → TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue beat Portage SC Pre- Green 2–1
- -2Nationals SC Capital Area Pre drew with Detroit City FC West Pre 2–2 → Detroit City FC West Pre lost to Portage SC Pre- Green 0–2
- +3Nationals SC Capital Area Pre beat Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE 5–1 → Nationals SC Macomb Pre- BLUE lost to Portage SC Pre- Green 2–3
- 0Nationals SC Capital Area Pre lost to Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre 0–1 → Cap City Athletic 1847 Pre drew with TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue 2–2 → TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue beat Portage SC Pre- Green 2–1
- +1Nationals SC Capital Area Pre drew with TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue 4–4 → TKO Premier SC Pre- Blue drew with Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY 1–1 → Nationals SC Macomb Pre- GRAY beat Portage SC Pre- Green 2–1
Full picture: Nationals SC Capital Area Pre · Portage SC Pre- Green · Pre- GMA BU11 standings