Columbia Premier SC Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU12 · 10 teams · Columbia Premier Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th

3-0-3 record · 6 played

1.50 points per game

+9 goal diff · 23–14

LLWWLlast 5

56% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.3

-0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:30 AM

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Columbia Premier SC Pre- I
5th · 1.50 PPG

Capital FC PRE- 1 B14
6th · 1.17 PPG

CFC Pioneer Sportspark, ED DAVISON 2 EAST 9V9 ↗ far trip

51% 17% 32%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.5 against · 1.70 expected points)

Season so far	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14
Position	5th	6th
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-3	2-1-3
Points per game	1.50	1.17
Goals for / game	3.8	2.0
Goals against / game	2.3	2.3
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	1	1
Form (recent first)	L W W L L	L W L L W
Biggest win	13–2 vs Eastside Timbers Pre I Red	4–1 at Boise Timbers Pre- One
Worst loss	1–6 vs United PDX Pre- I Black	0–3 at United PDX Pre- I Black
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.91	-0.02
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.06	+0.41

Common opponents: Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom — we 0–2; they 1–1. Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue — we 2–3; they 2–4. Boise Timbers Pre- One — we 2–1; they 4–1. United PDX Pre- I Black — we 1–6; they 0–3.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Swing game — small margins
Win 51% / draw 17% / loss 32%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 10:30 AM at CFC Pioneer Sportspark.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Columbia Premier SC Pre- I – Capital FC PRE- 1 B14) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 1.71 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds
Win 1.71 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds
Draw 1.43 PPG	5th— holds	5th— holds	5th— holds
Loss 1.29 PPG	6th▼ down 1	6th▼ down 1	7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–2 win we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

56% top 4

44% below the top 4

4.3 average finish

1st <1%
2nd 5%
3rd 16%
4th 35%
5th 29%
6th 14%
7th 1%
8th <1%
9th
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	United PDX Pre- I Black	3.00 (+1.50)	1st (2.77)	45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	FC Portland Pre- I	2.50 (+1.00)	2nd (2.14)	36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue	2.25 (+0.75)	3rd (2.03)	32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom	2.00 (+0.50)	5th (1.68)	27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Columbia Premier SC Pre- I to Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us

9 favour them

+1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 7th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 10:30 AM	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -2	Away far trip CFC Pioneer Sportspark	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	3–2	1.70	1.53	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 11:30 AM	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -11	Away far trip Lane Community College	●●○○○ Lean win	74%	4–2	2.33	1.63	Bank it
Sat Nov 21 10:30 AM	FC Portland Pre- I 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +10	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	36%	2–2	1.28	1.59	Upside
Sun Jan 31 10:00 AM	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +3	Away far trip Riverside High School	●●●●○ Tough	39%	1–1	1.37	1.57	Upside
Sat Feb 6 12:30 PM	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red 8th · 1-1-4 · GD -25	Away far trip Eastside Timbers Sports Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	89%	5–1	2.72	1.67	Bank it
Sat Feb 13 TBD	Boise Timbers Pre- One 10th · 0-1-5 · GD -12	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	86%	4–1	2.65	1.75	Bank it
Sun Feb 14 TBD	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue 3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +9	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–2	1.55	1.74	Swing game
Sun Feb 21 TBD	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -2	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	63%	3–2	2.03	1.76	Swing game
Sat Feb 27 TBD	FC Portland Pre- I 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +10	Away	●●●●○ Tough	27%	1–2	0.97	1.71	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 9th · 0-1-5 · GD -11	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	83%	4–1	2.57	1.76	Bank it
Sun Apr 18 TBD	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 7th · 2-1-3 · GD -5	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	75%	3–1	2.37	1.80	Bank it
Sun Apr 25 TBD	United PDX Pre- I Black 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +24	Away	●●●●● Very tough	6%	1–4	0.27	1.71	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

United PDX Pre- I Black

+24

3.00

WWWWW

+0.05

-0.45

100%

1.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	6–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	11–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–0

Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Boise Timbers Pre- One · Sun Oct 25 vs Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	5–0	97%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	2–0	69%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	5–0	97%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	2–1	72%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	4–0	94%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	2–0	76%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	4–1	86%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Portland Pre- I

+10

2.50

LWWWW

-0.24

-0.04

96%

2.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	6–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–0

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom · Sun Nov 1 at Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 · Sat Nov 21 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- I See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–0	51%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–1	75%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	4–1	93%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	2–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue

2.25

WLWWW

+0.01

-0.21

93%

3.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	1–0
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	4–2
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	8–4
L	Sun Sep 13	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Boise Timbers Pre- One · Sat Feb 13 at FC Portland Pre- I · Sun Feb 14 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- I See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	3–1	82%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	5–1	92%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	3–1	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom

2.00

LWDWW

-0.10

-0.02

42%

4.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	1–0
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	3–0
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	0–3

Next: Sun Sep 13 vs Boise Timbers Pre- One · Sun Oct 25 at FC Portland Pre- I · Sat Nov 7 vs United PDX Pre- I Black See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 13 (no score yet)	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	2–0	70%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	0–1	24%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	1–1	51%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	2–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–1	29%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	1–0	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Columbia Premier SC Pre- I

1.50

LLWWL

-0.06

-0.08

56%

4.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	1–6
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	13–2
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	5–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 · Sun Nov 15 at Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Portland Pre- I See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	3–2	51%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	4–2	74%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	5–1	89%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	4–1	86%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	3–2	63%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	1–4	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Capital FC PRE- 1 B14

-2

1.17

WLLWL

+0.41

-0.18

12%

5.6

L	Sun Oct 18	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–3
W	Sun Oct 11	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	4–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	2–4
L	Sat Oct 3	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–3
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside Timbers Pre I Red · Sun Nov 1 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- I · Sun Nov 15 vs Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–3	32%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–1	75%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–2	24%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Portland City United - PRE- RED 1

-5

1.17

DWLLW

-0.51

+0.39

7.1

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	3–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	5–2
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 at United PDX Pre- I Black · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland Pre- I · Sun Nov 15 at Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–3	14%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside Timbers Pre I Red

-25

0.67

DLLWL

+0.55

+0.14

9.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	2–1
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–13
L	Sat Sep 26	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–11
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 · Sun Nov 1 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 · Sun Nov 22 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–4	8%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	2–3	30%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–5	3%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–4	3%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	2–3	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1

-11

0.17

LLLLL

+0.02

+0.21

8.5

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	4–8
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	1–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Eastside Timbers Pre I Red · Sun Nov 15 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- I · Sun Nov 22 at United PDX Pre- I Black See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–2	54%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	2–4	14%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Boise Timbers Pre- One (10th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	3–2	66%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Boise Timbers Pre- One

-12

0.17

LLLLL

-0.45

+0.46

9.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	2–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	1–2
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	0–6
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	1–1

Next: Sat Sep 12 at United PDX Pre- I Black · Sun Sep 13 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom · Sat Oct 31 at Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	at	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sun Sep 13 (no score yet)	at	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	0–2	11%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Columbia Premier SC Pre- I (5th)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	FC Portland Pre- I (2nd)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	United PDX Pre- I Black (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Eastside Timbers Pre I Red (8th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue (3rd)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Capital FC PRE- 1 B14 (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 (9th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Portland City United - PRE- RED 1 (7th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom (4th)	0–1	16%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.28 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.