Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2

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Oregon Episcopal School , Turf - East ↗ · turf

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–6 (expected goals 1.2 for, 6.3 against · 0.07 expected points)

Common opponents: Columbia Premier SC Pre- II — we 0–7; they 2–2. Eastside Timbers Pre II Black — we 5–5; they 7–1. Idaho Rush Pre- II Black — we 2–1; they 5–1.

• Respect their attack
  United PDX Pre- II Blue score 4.4/game — well above the league's 2.9.

  Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

• Hard to break down
  United PDX Pre- II Blue concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

  Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–7 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- II, 0–14 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Underdog — play free, stay organised
  Model gives 1%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

  Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

• Away game
  Kickoff 09:00 AM at Oregon Episcopal School .

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• Early kickoff
  Game time 09:00 AM.

  Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

• What a win does
  Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.67.

  A win moves us above Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the United PDX Pre- II Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 – United PDX Pre- II Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–6 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd
4. 4th <1%
5. 5th <1%
6. 6th 2%
7. 7th 10%
8. 8th 18%
9. 9th 29%
10. 10th 42%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.22 PPG if we win out).