Eastside Timbers Pre II Black
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU11 · 10 teams · Eastside Timbers (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:30 PM
CFC Pioneer Sportspark, ED DAVISON 2 EAST 9V9 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 3–3 (expected goals 3.1 for, 3.3 against · 1.32 expected points)
| Season so far | Eastside Timbers Pre II Black | Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-2-4 | 0-2-4 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L D L L D | D D L L L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | 1–7 at United PDX Pre- II Blue | 1–10 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.76 | -1.55 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.22 | +0.74 |
Common opponents: FC Portland Pre- II — we 4–6; they 1–1. United PDX Pre- II Blue — we 1–7; they 0–5. Boise Timbers Pre- Two — we 3–3; they 3–3. Idaho Rush Pre- II Black — we 1–5; they 3–5.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 average 1.3 goals/game (league avg 2.9); blanked in 2 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 39%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 04:30 PM at CFC Pioneer Sportspark.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 sit 8th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.33.A point moves us above Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside Timbers Pre II Black – Capital FC PRE- 2 B15) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.43 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Win 0.71 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 8th▲ up 1 | 9th— holds |
| Draw 0.43 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.29 PPG |
10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–3 draw we stay 9th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 21%
- 8th 24%
- 9th 26%
- 10th 27%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.11 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo | 3.00 (+2.67) | 1st (2.81) | 52 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | United PDX Pre- II Blue | 2.60 (+2.27) | 2nd (2.34) | 45 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Columbia Premier SC Pre- II | 2.17 (+1.84) | 3rd (2.17) | 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Boise Timbers Pre- Two | 1.83 (+1.50) | 4th (1.50) | 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 5 | Idaho Rush Pre- II Black | 1.50 (+1.17) | 5th (1.46) | 25 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 6 | FC Portland Pre- II | 1.17 (+0.84) | 6th (1.26) | 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection |
| 7 | Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 | 1.00 (+0.67) | 7th (0.78) | 16 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 8 | Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 | 0.67 (+0.34) | 10th (0.62) | A point next game |
How the results connect
24 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Eastside Timbers Pre II Black to Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.26 · 4th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 04:30 PM |
Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 10th · 0-2-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
3–3 | 1.32 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:30 PM |
Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 7th · 2-0-4 · GD -17 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.84 | 0.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 03:00 PM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +38 |
Away far trip
Hazelia |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
1–9 | 0.01 | 0.57 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 11:00 AM |
Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 10th · 0-2-4 · GD -17 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
3–2 | 1.70 | 0.69 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 11:00 AM |
Columbia Premier SC Pre- II 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +13 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.34 | 0.66 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 11:00 AM |
United PDX Pre- II Blue 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +18 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–5 | 0.21 | 0.62 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Idaho Rush Pre- II Black 5th · 4-0-4 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
2–4 | 0.56 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Boise Timbers Pre- Two 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
2–4 | 0.52 | 0.61 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 09:00 AM |
Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 8th · 1-1-4 · GD -23 |
Away Buckman Field Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
3–3 | 1.57 | 0.67 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 12:30 PM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +38 |
Home Eastside Timbers Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
1–8 | 0.03 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
FC Portland Pre- II 6th · 2-1-3 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
2–4 | 0.67 | 0.63 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 11:30 AM |
Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 7th · 2-0-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
Lane Community College |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
3–3 | 1.47 | 0.68 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | +38 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.91 | -0.28 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two · Sun Oct 25 at FC Portland Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 vs United PDX Pre- II Blue See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | United PDX Pre- II Blue | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | +18 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWWD | -0.38 | -0.10 | 100% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two · Sun Oct 25 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Columbia Premier SC Pre- II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | +13 | 13 | 2.17 | LWWWD | +0.45 | -0.39 | 100% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 · Sun Nov 15 at Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Portland Pre- II See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Boise Timbers Pre- Two | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 11 | 1.83 | WLDDW | -1.08 | +0.54 | 50% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at United PDX Pre- II Blue · Sun Sep 13 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo · Sat Oct 31 at Idaho Rush Pre- II Black See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Idaho Rush Pre- II Black | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 24 | +0 | 12 | 1.50 | LWWLW | -0.12 | +0.06 | 40% | 4.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Boise Timbers Pre- Two · Sat Feb 13 at FC Portland Pre- II · Sun Feb 14 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- II See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Portland Pre- II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 7 | 1.17 | LLLWD | -0.49 | +0.33 | 10% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo · Sun Nov 1 at Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 · Sat Nov 21 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- II See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 6 | 1.00 | LWWLL | +0.16 | +0.33 | 0% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Eastside Timbers Pre II Black · Sun Nov 15 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- II · Sun Nov 22 at United PDX Pre- II Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLWL | +0.42 | +0.25 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at United PDX Pre- II Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland Pre- II · Sun Nov 15 at Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Eastside Timbers Pre II Black | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 2 | 0.33 | DLLDL | +0.22 | +0.26 | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 · Sun Nov 1 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 2 · Sun Nov 22 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Tiempo See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Capital FC PRE- 2 B15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 2 | 0.33 | LLLDD | +0.74 | -0.06 | 0% | 8.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside Timbers Pre II Black · Sun Nov 1 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- II · Sun Nov 15 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 2 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.