TableChase Clubs

Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU11 · 10 teams · Portland City United SC (all teams)

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10th
0-0-6 record · 6 played
0.00 points per game
-31 goal diff · 7–38
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1
10th · 0.00 PPG
at
United PDX Pre- I Black
2nd · 2.40 PPG

Oregon Episcopal School , Turf - West ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–6 (expected goals 1.1 for, 7.0 against · 0.04 expected points)

Season so farPortland City United SC PRE- RED 1United PDX Pre- I Black
Position10th2nd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-64-0-1
Points per game0.002.40
Goals for / game1.24.0
Goals against / game6.31.4
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L L LW W W L W
Biggest win—10–1 vs Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue
Worst loss0–12 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom1–3 at FC Portland Pre- I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.35+1.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.10+0.24

Common opponents: Columbia Premier SC Pre- I — we 0–8; they 2–1. Eastside Timbers Pre I Red — we 1–5; they 3–0. Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue — we 1–5; they 10–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    United PDX Pre- I Black score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–8 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- I, 0–12 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (2%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    United PDX Pre- I Black have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:30 AM at Oregon Episcopal School .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the United PDX Pre- I Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 – United PDX Pre- I Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Win
0.43 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Draw
0.14 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–6 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 98%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.71) 54 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 United PDX Pre- I Black 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (2.16) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 FC Portland Pre- I 2.33 (+2.33) 4th (1.89) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 Columbia Premier SC Pre- I 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (2.21) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.67) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 Boise Timbers Pre- One 1.50 (+1.50) 6th (1.11) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 1.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.03) 18 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue 0.88 (+0.88) 8th (0.86) 16 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 Eastside Timbers Pre I Red 0.67 (+0.67) 9th (0.69) 13 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 to United PDX Pre- I Black through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
22 favour them
-7.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 0–3 0–8 1–2 1–5 1–10 1–2 0–2 3–1 10–0 4–6 1–3 2–2 2–2 2–0 1–3 2–4 3–2 7–3 Portland City Unite… 10th Eastside Timbers Pr… 9th Columbia Premier SC… 4th Idaho Rush Pre- I B… 8th Eugene Metro FC Pre… 7th Boise Timbers Pre- … 6th FC Portland Pre- I 3rd Capital FC PRE- 1 B… 5th United PDX Pre- I B… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.55 · 1st hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM		 United PDX Pre- I Black
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +13		 Away
Oregon Episcopal School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.04 0.01 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:30 AM		 FC Portland Pre- I
3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +7		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.23 0.03 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM		 Capital FC PRE- 1 B15
5th · 3-0-3 · GD +3		 Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.14 0.05 Upside
Sun Feb 14
10:00 AM		 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1
7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6		 Away far trip
Lane Community College		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.37 0.08 Upside
Sat Feb 20
10:30 AM		 Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.01 0.07 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:30 AM		 Eastside Timbers Pre I Red
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -12		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
25%		 2–3 0.91 0.14 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD		 FC Portland Pre- I
3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +7		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–4 0.14 0.14 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 United PDX Pre- I Black
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–6 0.09 0.14 Upside
Sun Apr 11
10:30 AM		 Capital FC PRE- 1 B15
5th · 3-0-3 · GD +3		 Home
Buckman Field Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–4 0.25 0.15 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Columbia Premier SC Pre- I
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +27		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%		 1–9 0.01 0.14 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Boise Timbers Pre- One
6th · 3-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–4 0.42 0.15 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue
8th · 2-1-5 · GD -22		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 2–5 0.50 0.17 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 5500 301+29 153.00 WWWWW -0.56 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 United PDX Pre- I Black 5401 207+13 122.40 WLWWW +0.24 -0.23 97% 2.8
3 FC Portland Pre- I 6420 136+7 142.33 WWDWW -0.45 +0.20 75% 4.0
4 Columbia Premier SC Pre- I 6402 358+27 122.00 LWWWL -0.40 -0.14 98% 2.5
5 Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 6303 1411+3 91.50 WLWWL +0.31 -0.17 30% 4.7
6 Boise Timbers Pre- One 6303 1220-8 91.50 LLLWW -0.33 +0.38 0% 6.7
7 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 6204 1218-6 61.00 WWLLL -0.19 +0.34 0% 6.9
8 Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue 8215 1941-22 70.88 LDLWW +0.29 +0.13 0% 7.8
9 Eastside Timbers Pre I Red 6114 921-12 40.67 WLLLL -0.21 +0.41 0% 8.5
10 Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 6006 738-31 00.00 LLLLL +0.10 +0.55 0% 10.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.