FC Portland Pre- I
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU11 · 10 teams · FC Portland Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM
Liberty High School, JV Field ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.5 against · 0.61 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Portland Pre- I | Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-2-0 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 6.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D W W | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs United PDX Pre- I Black | 12–0 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.70 | +3.25 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.45 | -0.56 |
Common opponents: Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue — we 2–2; they 5–1. Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 — we 2–0; they 6–0. Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 — we 1–0; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom score 6.0/game — well above the league's 2.7.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom concede only 0.2/game with 4 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 15%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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They arrive in form
Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
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What a win does
United PDX Pre- I Black sit 2nd on 2.40 PPG; we are on 2.33.A point moves us above United PDX Pre- I Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Portland Pre- I – Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.43 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 2.14 PPG |
3rd— holds | 3rd— holds | 3rd— holds |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 4th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 5%
- 3rd 17%
- 4th 55%
- 5th 23%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.78 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom | 3.00 (+0.67) | 1st (2.71) | 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 2 | United PDX Pre- I Black | 2.40 (+0.07) | 3rd (2.16) | A point next game |
How the results connect
22 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link FC Portland Pre- I to Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.20 · 5th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29 |
Home Liberty High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.61 | 2.09 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:30 AM |
Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -31 |
Away far trip
Buckman Field Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.69 | 2.16 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM |
Columbia Premier SC Pre- I 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +27 |
Away far trip
Harmony Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.67 | 2.00 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 TBD |
Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
2–1 | 2.20 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 13 TBD |
Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue 8th · 2-1-5 · GD -22 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.53 | 2.06 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 14 TBD |
Boise Timbers Pre- One 6th · 3-0-3 · GD -8 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–1 | 2.31 | 2.09 | Bank it |
| Sat Feb 20 TBD |
United PDX Pre- I Black 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.98 | 2.00 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
Columbia Premier SC Pre- I 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +27 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 1.92 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 10:00 AM |
Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29 |
Away far trip
Riverside High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
0–2 | 0.44 | 1.82 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -31 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 92% |
4–0 | 2.81 | 1.89 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Eastside Timbers Pre I Red 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -12 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
2–1 | 2.43 | 1.92 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 5th · 3-0-3 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.40 | 1.89 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | +29 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.56 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs Boise Timbers Pre- One · Sun Oct 25 at FC Portland Pre- I · Sat Nov 7 vs United PDX Pre- I Black See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | United PDX Pre- I Black | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | +0.24 | -0.23 | 98% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Boise Timbers Pre- One · Sun Oct 25 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 · Sat Nov 7 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC Portland Pre- I | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 14 | 2.33 | WWDWW | -0.45 | +0.20 | 77% | 4.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom · Sun Nov 1 at Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 · Sat Nov 21 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Columbia Premier SC Pre- I | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 8 | +27 | 12 | 2.00 | LWWWL | -0.40 | -0.14 | 98% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 · Sun Nov 15 at Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Portland Pre- I See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | +0.31 | -0.17 | 28% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Eastside Timbers Pre I Red · Sun Nov 1 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- I · Sun Nov 15 vs Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Boise Timbers Pre- One | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 | 1.50 | LLLWW | -0.33 | +0.38 | 0% | 6.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at United PDX Pre- I Black · Sun Sep 13 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom · Sat Oct 31 at Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 6 | 1.00 | WWLLL | -0.19 | +0.34 | 0% | 6.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Eastside Timbers Pre I Red · Sun Nov 15 vs Columbia Premier SC Pre- I · Sun Nov 22 at United PDX Pre- I Black See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 7 | 0.88 | LDLWW | +0.29 | +0.13 | 0% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Boise Timbers Pre- One · Sat Feb 13 at FC Portland Pre- I · Sun Feb 14 at Columbia Premier SC Pre- I See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Eastside Timbers Pre I Red | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 4 | 0.67 | WLLLL | -0.21 | +0.41 | 0% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 · Sun Nov 1 vs Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 · Sun Nov 22 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 38 | -31 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.10 | +0.55 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at United PDX Pre- I Black · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Portland Pre- I · Sun Nov 15 at Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.