TableChase Clubs

Columbia Premier SC Pre- I

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Far West BU11 · 10 teams · Columbia Premier Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
4th
4-0-2 record · 6 played
2.00 points per game
+27 goal diff · 35–8
LWWWLlast 5
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.5
-0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Columbia Premier SC Pre- I
4th · 2.00 PPG
at
Capital FC PRE- 1 B15
5th · 1.50 PPG

CFC Pioneer Sportspark, ED DAVISON 2 EAST 9V9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.3 for, 1.9 against · 2.11 expected points)

Season so farColumbia Premier SC Pre- ICapital FC PRE- 1 B15
Position4th5th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-23-0-3
Points per game2.001.50
Goals for / game5.82.3
Goals against / game1.31.8
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L W W W LL W W L W
Biggest win10–0 vs Eastside Timbers Pre I Red6–0 at Boise Timbers Pre- One
Worst loss0–4 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom0–3 at Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.71+0.51
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.40+0.31

Common opponents: Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom — we 0–4; they 0–3. Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue — we 11–2; they 3–2. Boise Timbers Pre- One — we 5–0; they 6–0. United PDX Pre- I Black — we 1–2; they 2–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 15% / loss 20%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at CFC Pioneer Sportspark.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Columbia Premier SC Pre- I – Capital FC PRE- 1 B15) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.14 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.14 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.86 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.71 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
2.5 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 54%
  3. 3rd 32%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.71) 42 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 United PDX Pre- I Black 2.40 (+0.40) 3rd (2.16) 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
3 FC Portland Pre- I 2.33 (+0.33) 4th (1.89) 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Columbia Premier SC Pre- I to Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

15 favour us
2 even
5 favour them
+3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 4–2 5–0 0–6 0–4 3–0 11–2 2–3 6–0 1–3 8–0 4–6 5–1 0–12 1–3 1–0 10–0 0–2 1–10 3–7 Columbia Premier SC… 4th United PDX Pre- I B… 2nd Boise Timbers Pre- … 6th Oregon Premier FC P… 1st Idaho Rush Pre- I B… 8th Portland City Unite… 10th Eastside Timbers Pr… 9th Eugene Metro FC Pre… 7th FC Portland Pre- I 3rd Capital FC PRE- 1 B… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 5th 10th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.14 · 7th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Capital FC PRE- 1 B15
5th · 3-0-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
CFC Pioneer Sportspark
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.11 2.02 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:00 AM
Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1
7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6
Away far trip
Lane Community College
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.62 2.09 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
FC Portland Pre- I
3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Home
Harmony Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.17 2.10 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
10:00 AM
Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +29
Away far trip
Riverside High School
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.77 1.97 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:00 AM
Eastside Timbers Pre I Red
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -12
Away far trip
Eastside Timbers Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.78 2.04 Bank it
Sat Feb 13
TBD
Boise Timbers Pre- One
6th · 3-0-3 · GD -8
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 2.11 Bank it
Sun Feb 14
TBD
Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue
8th · 2-1-5 · GD -22
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
7–1 2.92 2.17 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
TBD
Capital FC PRE- 1 B15
5th · 3-0-3 · GD +3
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.37 2.18 Bank it
Sat Feb 27
TBD
FC Portland Pre- I
3rd · 4-2-0 · GD +7
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.89 2.16 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1
7th · 2-0-4 · GD -6
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.77 2.20 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1
10th · 0-0-6 · GD -31
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
9–1 2.98 2.25 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
United PDX Pre- I Black
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +13
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–2 1.64 2.21 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Oregon Premier FC Pre Phantom 5500 301+29 153.00 WWWWW -0.56 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 United PDX Pre- I Black 5401 207+13 122.40 WLWWW +0.24 -0.23 98% 2.8
3 FC Portland Pre- I 6420 136+7 142.33 WWDWW -0.45 +0.20 77% 4.0
4 Columbia Premier SC Pre- I 6402 358+27 122.00 LWWWL -0.40 -0.14 98% 2.5
5 Capital FC PRE- 1 B15 6303 1411+3 91.50 WLWWL +0.31 -0.17 27% 4.7
6 Boise Timbers Pre- One 6303 1220-8 91.50 LLLWW -0.33 +0.38 0% 6.7
7 Eugene Metro FC Pre- Prem 1 6204 1218-6 61.00 WWLLL -0.19 +0.34 0% 6.9
8 Idaho Rush Pre- I Blue 8215 1941-22 70.88 LDLWW +0.29 +0.13 0% 7.8
9 Eastside Timbers Pre I Red 6114 921-12 40.67 WLLLL -0.21 +0.41 0% 8.5
10 Portland City United SC PRE- RED 1 6006 738-31 00.00 LLLLL +0.10 +0.55 0% 10.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.