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Real Colorado Pre- Olympico

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU11 · 8 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 9 hours ago.
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5th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
45% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.6
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM

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Real Colorado Pre- Olympico
5th · 0.00 PPG
vs

Highland Heritage Regional Park, HHRP West Field 03 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.7 against · 0.88 expected points)

Season so farReal Colorado Pre- OlympicoColorado Storm South Pre
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-0-02-0-0
Points per game0.003.00
Goals for / game0.04.0
Goals against / game0.00.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—W W
Biggest win—5–0 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+1.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.68

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Colorado Storm South Pre score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Colorado Storm South Pre concede only 0.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Colorado EDGE Pre- United sit 4th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Colorado EDGE Pre- United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm South Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado Pre- Olympico – Colorado Storm South Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 3
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 3 2nd▲ up 3 2nd▲ up 3
Draw
1.00 PPG
5th— holds 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
45% top 4
55% below the top 4
4.6 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 7%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 20%
  5. 5th 25%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Storm South Pre 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.30) Win next game
2 Pride SC Pre- Copa 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.20) Win next game
3 Colorado Rush Pre- White 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.72) A point next game
4 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.53) A point next game

Position over the season

3 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 4th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 18
02:00 PM
no score posted
Colorado Storm Pre- North
6th · 0-0-1 · GD -1
Away far trip
Northwest Open Spaces
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.33 1.33 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Colorado Storm South Pre
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Highland Heritage Regional Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.88 1.11 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Colorado EDGE Pre- United
4th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
Highland Heritage Regional Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.59 1.27 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
12:00 PM
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold
8th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Home
Highland Heritage Regional Park
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.27 1.52 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Colorado Rush Pre- White
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 1.40 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Pride SC Pre- Copa
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.79 1.29 Upside
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
Real Colorado North National Pre
7th · 0-0-2 · GD -7
Home
Highland Heritage Regional Park
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.24 1.43 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Storm South Pre 2200 81+7 63.00 WW -0.68 +0.02 97% 1.8
2 Pride SC Pre- Copa 2200 83+5 63.00 WW -0.76 +0.08 96% 2.1
3 Colorado Rush Pre- White 3201 83+5 62.00 LWW -0.95 +0.50 77% 3.4
4 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 2101 34-1 31.50 WL +0.97 -0.38 53% 4.4
5 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.02 ——
6 Colorado Storm Pre- North 1001 34-1 00.00 L +0.92 -0.14 28% 5.2
7 Real Colorado North National Pre 2002 07-7 00.00 LL +0.79 -0.08 1% 7.2
8 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 2002 19-8 00.00 LL +0.92 -0.12 2% 7.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.18 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.