Colorado Storm South Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU11 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Highland Heritage Regional Park, HHRP West Field 03 ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.7 against · 1.94 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Storm South Pre | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W | — |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.24 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.68 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Real Colorado Pre- Olympico average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 59% / draw 18% / loss 23%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Highland Heritage Regional Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Pre- Olympico game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm South Pre – Real Colorado Pre- Olympico) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 54%
- 2nd 26%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 5%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 1%
- 7th
- 8th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.02 · 3rd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.94 | 2.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 09:30 AM |
Pride SC Pre- Copa 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +5 |
Home Gates South Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.80 | 2.43 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 09:30 AM |
Colorado Storm Pre- North 6th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home Challenger Regional Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.33 | 2.41 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 PM |
Real Colorado North National Pre 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Neighbors Point Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.50 | 2.43 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Colorado Rush Pre- White 3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.55 | 2.30 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Colorado Storm South Pre | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.68 | +0.02 | 97% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Pride SC Pre- Copa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.76 | +0.08 | 96% | 2.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.95 | +0.50 | 77% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado EDGE Pre- United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.97 | -0.38 | 53% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.02 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Colorado Storm Pre- North | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.92 | -0.14 | 28% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Real Colorado North National Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.79 | -0.08 | 1% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.92 | -0.12 | 2% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.18 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.