TableChase Clubs

Real Colorado North National Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU11 · 8 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)

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7th
0-0-2 record · 2 played
0.00 points per game
-7 goal diff · 0–7
LLlast 2
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.2
+0.79 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM

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Real Colorado North National Pre
7th · 0.00 PPG
at
Colorado EDGE Pre- United
4th · 1.50 PPG

Stenger Soccer Complex, Field 17 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.6 against · 0.65 expected points)

Season so farReal Colorado North National PreColorado EDGE Pre- United
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-21-0-1
Points per game0.001.50
Goals for / game0.01.5
Goals against / game3.52.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L LL W
Biggest win—2–1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White
Worst loss0–4 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa1–3 at Colorado Storm South Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.27-0.07
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.79+0.97

Common opponents: Colorado Rush Pre- White — we 0–3; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 at Colorado Rush Pre- White, 0–4 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:00 AM at Stenger Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Storm Pre- North sit 6th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Colorado Storm Pre- North on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado EDGE Pre- United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado North National Pre – Colorado EDGE Pre- United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG		 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1 7th— holds
Draw
0.33 PPG		 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG		 8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
7.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 40%
  8. 8th 45%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.14 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Storm South Pre 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.30) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Pride SC Pre- Copa 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.20) 21 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Colorado Rush Pre- White 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.72) 14 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
4 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 1.50 (+1.50) 4th (1.53) 11 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
5 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 0.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.43) Already ahead
6 Colorado Storm Pre- North 0.00 (+0.00) 6th (1.22) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Real Colorado North National Pre to Colorado EDGE Pre- United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 1–2 Real Colorado North… 7th Colorado Rush Pre- … 3rd Colorado EDGE Pre- … 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

3 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 20 Oct 6 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 5th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM		 Colorado EDGE Pre- United
4th · 1-0-1 · GD -1		 Away far trip
Stenger Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.65 0.22 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM		 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold
8th · 0-0-2 · GD -8		 Home
Dry Creek Community Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–1 1.50 0.54 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 PM		 Colorado Storm South Pre
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Home
Neighbors Point Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.38 0.51 Upside
Sun Mar 21
10:30 AM		 Colorado Storm Pre- North
6th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Away far trip
Northwest Open Spaces		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–3 0.62 0.53 Upside
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM		 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0		 Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–2 0.60 0.54 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Storm South Pre 2200 81+7 63.00 WW -0.68 +0.02 97% 1.8
2 Pride SC Pre- Copa 2200 83+5 63.00 WW -0.76 +0.08 96% 2.1
3 Colorado Rush Pre- White 3201 83+5 62.00 LWW -0.95 +0.50 77% 3.4
4 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 2101 34-1 31.50 WL +0.97 -0.38 53% 4.4
5 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.02 ——
6 Colorado Storm Pre- North 1001 34-1 00.00 L +0.92 -0.14 28% 5.2
7 Real Colorado North National Pre 2002 07-7 00.00 LL +0.79 -0.08 1% 7.2
8 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 2002 19-8 00.00 LL +0.92 -0.12 2% 7.2

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.18 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.