Colorado Rush Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Colorado BU11 · 8 teams · Colorado Rush (all teams)

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3rd

2-0-1 record · 3 played

2.00 points per game

+5 goal diff · 8–3

LWWlast 3

77% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.4

-0.95 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 03:30 PM

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Colorado Rush Pre- White
3rd · 2.00 PPG

Pride SC Pre- Copa
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Pride Soccer Complex, Field 4 North ↗ far trip

32% 19% 48%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.4 against · 1.17 expected points)

Season so far	Colorado Rush Pre- White	Pride SC Pre- Copa
Position	3rd	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-1	2-0-0
Points per game	2.00	3.00
Goals for / game	2.7	4.0
Goals against / game	1.0	1.5
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W W L	W W
Biggest win	3–0 vs Real Colorado North National Pre	4–0 at Real Colorado North National Pre
Worst loss	1–2 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.64	+0.92
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.95	-0.76

Common opponents: Real Colorado North National Pre — we 3–0; they 4–0.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Pride SC Pre- Copa score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.2.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 32%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 03:30 PM at Pride Soccer Complex.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pride SC Pre- Copa game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Rush Pre- White – Pride SC Pre- Copa) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 1.50 PPG	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 2
Win 2.25 PPG	2nd▲ up 1	2nd▲ up 1	3rd— holds
Draw 1.75 PPG	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 2
Loss 1.50 PPG	3rd— holds	4th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

8% finish 1st

77% top 4

23% below the top 4

3.4 average finish

1st 8%
2nd 18%
3rd 28%
4th 24%
5th 15%
6th 7%
7th 1%
8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Colorado Storm South Pre	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.30)	15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
2	Pride SC Pre- Copa	3.00 (+1.00)	2nd (2.20)	15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Colorado Rush Pre- White to Pride SC Pre- Copa through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us

1 favour them

-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

3 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.50 · 1st hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 03:30 PM	Pride SC Pre- Copa 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +5	Away far trip Pride Soccer Complex	●●●●○ Tough	32%	1–2	1.17	1.79	Upside
Sun Nov 15 11:30 AM	Colorado Storm Pre- North 6th · 0-0-1 · GD -1	Away far trip Northwest Open Spaces	●●●○○ Toss-up	51%	2–1	1.73	1.78	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	2–1	1.91	1.80	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 TBD	Colorado Storm South Pre 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +7	Home	●●●●○ Tough	35%	1–2	1.25	1.72	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Colorado Storm South Pre

3.00

-0.68

+0.02

97%

1.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	5–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	2–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pride SC Pre- Copa

3.00

-0.76

+0.08

96%

2.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	4–3

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 8 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	4–1	85%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	3–1	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Rush Pre- White

2.00

LWW

-0.95

+0.50

77%

3.4

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	4–1
W	Tue Oct 6	vs	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	1–2

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sat Mar 20 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	1–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado EDGE Pre- United

-1

1.50

+0.97

-0.38

53%

4.4

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	2–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	1–2	34%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado Pre- Olympico

0.00

—

-0.02

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United See all 7 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	at	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)	1–3	21%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	2–1	70%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Colorado Storm Pre- North

-1

0.00

+0.92

-0.14

28%

5.2

Sun Sep 20

Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)

3–4

Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White See all 6 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	vs	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	3–2	60%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	3–1	69%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Real Colorado North National Pre

-7

0.00

+0.79

-0.08

7.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)	0–4
L	Tue Oct 6	at	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	0–3

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Sun Nov 15 vs Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold (8th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	1–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold

-8

0.00

+0.92

-0.12

7.2

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Colorado Rush Pre- White (3rd)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Colorado Storm South Pre (1st)	0–5

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado North National Pre · Sun Nov 22 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 5 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Colorado Storm Pre- North (6th)	2–3	24%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Real Colorado North National Pre (7th)	1–2	36%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Real Colorado Pre- Olympico (5th)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Colorado EDGE Pre- United (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pride SC Pre- Copa (2nd)	1–4	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.18 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.