TableChase Clubs

Sting Royal

ECNL Regional League Girls · Texas GU14 · 14 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 30 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+1 goal diff · 6–5
WWDLlast 4
13% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.4
-0.20 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 11:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Sting Royal
7th · 1.75 PPG
at
FC Westlake Blue
9th · 1.25 PPG

Onion Creek Soccer Complex, Field 9 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.5 against · 1.22 expected points)

Season so farSting RoyalFC Westlake Blue
Position7th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-11-2-1
Points per game1.751.25
Goals for / game1.51.8
Goals against / game1.31.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L D W WD L D W
Biggest win2–1 at Sting Black3–0 at West Side Alliance
Worst loss0–1 at FC Dallas Youth0–2 at SOLAR SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.06+0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.20-0.17

Common opponents: West Side Alliance — we 2–1; they 3–0. OK Energy FC Texas — we 2–2; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at FC Dallas Youth.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 32%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Onion Creek Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Sting Black sit 6th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A point moves us above Sting Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Westlake Blue game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Royal – FC Westlake Blue) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.60 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Win
2.00 PPG
5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2 5th▲ up 2
Draw
1.60 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.40 PPG
9th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
13% top 4
87% below the top 4
7.4 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 6%
  5. 5th 9%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 19%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 2%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.62 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth 3.00 (+1.25) 2nd (2.00) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
2 SOLAR SC 2.67 (+0.92) 1st (2.36) 28 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
3 Albion Hurricanes FC 2.00 (+0.25) 3rd (1.83) Win next game
4 Challenge 2.00 (+0.25) 5th (1.69) Win next game
5 OK Energy FC Texas 1.75 (+0.00) 4th (1.76) A point next game
6 Sting Black 1.75 (+0.00) 6th (1.67) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Sting Royal to FC Westlake Blue through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–2 2–1 0–3 0–1 3–1 4–1 2–1 0–0 2–2 Sting Royal 7th OK Energy FC Texas 5th West Side Alliance 14th FC Dallas Youth 1st Sting Black 6th Dallas Texans 12th FC Westlake Blue 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.18 · 7th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
FC Westlake Blue
9th · 1-2-1 · GD +1
Away far trip
Onion Creek Soccer Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.22 1.64 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX Royal
10th · 1-1-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
Lakeline Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.21 1.57 Upside
Sat Nov 21
03:00 PM
Albion Hurricanes FC
3rd · 2-0-1 · GD +6
Away far trip
Campbell Road Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.85 1.47 Upside
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
Challenge
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +4
Away far trip
Burroughs Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.02 1.41 Upside
Sat Apr 17
03:00 PM
DKSC
8th · 2-1-1 · GD -4
Away
Clark East Field
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.56 1.43 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
SOLAR SC
2nd · 5-1-0 · GD +17
Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 1.35 Upside
Sat May 1
06:00 AM
FC Westlake White
13th · 1-2-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–0 1.81 1.39 Swing game
Sun May 2
06:00 AM
Lonestar SAT
11th · 2-0-4 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.73 1.42 Swing game
Sat May 8
03:00 PM
Dallas Texans
12th · 1-3-3 · GD -5
Home
Sting National Training Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.84 1.45 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth 3300 82+6 93.00 WWW -0.68 +0.21 79% 3.2
2 SOLAR SC 6510 214+17 162.67 WWWWD -0.22 +0.06 99% 1.4
3 Albion Hurricanes FC 3201 93+6 62.00 LWW -0.63 +0.17 62% 4.2
4 Challenge 3201 73+4 62.00 WWL -0.52 +0.17 39% 5.4
5 OK Energy FC Texas 8422 1814+4 141.75 DLDLW +0.23 -0.27 50% 4.6
6 Sting Black 4211 62+4 71.75 LDWW -0.29 +0.15 38% 5.4
7 Sting Royal 4211 65+1 71.75 WWDL -0.20 +0.18 13% 7.4
8 DKSC 4211 610-4 71.75 WLWD +0.11 +0.08 3% 9.1
9 FC Westlake Blue 4121 76+1 51.25 WDLD -0.17 +0.18 10% 7.9
10 Lonestar ATX Royal 4112 54+1 41.00 LWLD -0.18 +0.18 7% 8.3
11 Lonestar SAT 6204 1718-1 61.00 WLWLL -0.10 +0.27 0% 10.9
12 Dallas Texans 7133 914-5 60.86 DLLWD +0.20 -0.02 0% 11.3
13 FC Westlake White 6123 37-4 50.83 LDLLD -0.09 +0.30 0% 12.1
14 West Side Alliance 8008 232-30 00.00 LLLLL +0.24 +0.35 0% 14.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.59 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.