Dynamos STXCL
ECNL Regional League Girls · STXCL GU18/19 · 11 teams · Dynamos Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.7 against · 0.64 expected points)
| Season so far | Dynamos STXCL | Coastal Premier STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-1 | 5-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 5.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W D L D | W W W W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Imperial SC STXCL | 8–0 at Challenge STXCL |
| Worst loss | 2–4 vs RISE SC STXCL | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.48 | +2.59 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.80 | -0.62 |
Common opponents: AHFC WEST STXCL — we 0–0; they 2–1. AHFC CENTRAL STXCL — we 1–0; they 5–0. Imperial SC STXCL — we 5–1; they 6–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Coastal Premier STXCL score 5.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
Coastal Premier STXCL concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs AHFC WEST STXCL.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 16%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
They arrive in form
Coastal Premier STXCL have won 5 straight.Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Coastal Premier STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamos STXCL – Coastal Premier STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.57 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
| Draw 1.71 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.57 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 33%
- 5th 27%
- 6th 20%
- 7th 12%
- 8th 2%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 2.30 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coastal Premier STXCL | 3.00 (+1.17) | 1st (2.72) | 19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | AHFC EAST STXCL | 3.00 (+1.17) | 2nd (2.51) | 19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | RISE SC STXCL | 2.14 (+0.31) | 3rd (2.02) | 11 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
How the results connect
17 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Dynamos STXCL to Coastal Premier STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +1.04 · 1st hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 12:00 PM |
Coastal Premier STXCL 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +22 |
Home Dyess Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.64 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
Houstonians FC STXCL II 5th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away Dyess Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
1–1 | 1.50 | 1.64 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 12:00 PM |
Challenge STXCL 6th · 3-0-3 · GD -2 |
Home Dyess Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 1.68 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 02:00 PM |
AHFC EAST STXCL 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +13 |
Away Dyess Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.68 | 1.58 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coastal Premier STXCL | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | +22 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.62 | +0.04 | 100% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Dynamos STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs RISE SC STXCL · Fri Nov 6 vs AHFC EAST STXCL See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | AHFC EAST STXCL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | +13 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.23 | -0.13 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AHFC WEST STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Imperial SC STXCL · Fri Nov 6 at Coastal Premier STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | RISE SC STXCL | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 15 | 2.14 | WWWWW | -0.22 | +0.15 | 97% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Houstonians FC STXCL II · Sat Oct 31 at Coastal Premier STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at Imperial SC STXCL See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Dynamos STXCL | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 11 | 1.83 | DLDWW | -0.80 | +1.04 | 39% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Coastal Premier STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Houstonians FC STXCL II · Sat Nov 7 vs Challenge STXCL See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Houstonians FC STXCL II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | +0.67 | -0.42 | 46% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Houstonians FC STXCL I · Sun Oct 25 at RISE SC STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Challenge East STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Challenge STXCL | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 | 1.50 | LLWLW | -0.27 | +0.39 | 10% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at Dynamos STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at Houstonians FC STXCL II See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | AHFC WEST STXCL | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 8 | 1.14 | WLLDW | +0.15 | -0.56 | 8% | 5.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AHFC EAST STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Houstonians FC STXCL I · Sat Nov 7 vs Imperial SC STXCL See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Houstonians FC STXCL I | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | LLDWL | +0.10 | +0.12 | 0% | 8.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Houstonians FC STXCL II · Sun Oct 25 at Challenge East STXCL · Sun Nov 1 vs AHFC WEST STXCL See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | AHFC CENTRAL STXCL | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 | 0.67 | LLDLL | +0.73 | -0.89 | 0% | 8.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Imperial SC STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Challenge STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs Houstonians FC STXCL II See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Challenge East STXCL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLWL | +0.12 | +0.20 | 0% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Houstonians FC STXCL I · Sat Oct 31 at Houstonians FC STXCL II · Sun Nov 1 vs Imperial SC STXCL See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Imperial SC STXCL | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 22 | -19 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.39 | +0.10 | 0% | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at AHFC EAST STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at Challenge East STXCL See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.91 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.