Coastal Premier STXCL

ECNL Regional League Girls · STXCL GU15 · 17 teams · Coastal Premier Alliance FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 29 minutes ago.

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1st

6-0-0 record · 6 played

3.00 points per game

+23 goal diff · 24–1

WWWWWlast 5

100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.4

-0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 04:00 PM

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Coastal Premier STXCL
1st · 3.00 PPG

Challenge STXCL
3rd · 2.50 PPG

Dyess Park, Field 3 ↗

44% 26% 31%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.2 against · 1.56 expected points)

Season so far	Coastal Premier STXCL	Challenge STXCL
Position	1st	3rd
Record (W-D-L)	6-0-0	5-0-1
Points per game	3.00	2.50
Goals for / game	4.0	3.3
Goals against / game	0.2	0.3
Clean sheets	5	5
Held scoreless	0	1
Form (recent first)	W W W W W	L W W W W
Biggest win	7–0 at Force FC STXCL	8–0 vs Lonestar SAT STXCL
Worst loss	—	0–2 vs AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+2.40	+1.71
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.33	-0.60

Common opponents: Sting CC STXCL Hennessy — we 3–0; they 5–0. TC Premier SC STXCL — we 4–0; they 1–0. Force FC STXCL — we 7–0; they 3–0. AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I — we 2–1; they 0–2.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Challenge STXCL score 3.3/game — well above the league's 2.0.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
Challenge STXCL concede only 0.3/game with 5 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Swing game — small margins
Win 44% / draw 26% / loss 31%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 04:00 PM at Dyess Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Challenge STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Coastal Premier STXCL – Challenge STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 2.71 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1
Win 3.00 PPG	1st— holds	1st— holds	1st— holds
Draw 2.71 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1
Loss 2.57 PPG	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1	2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

75% finish 1st

100% top 4

0% below the top 4

1.4 average finish

1st 75%
2nd 17%
3rd 6%
4th 2%
5th <1%
6th
7th
8th
9th
10th
11th
12th
13th
14th
15th
16th
17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

11 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Coastal Premier STXCL to Challenge STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us

1 even

4 favour them

+0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.04 · 13th hardest of 17

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 04:00 PM	Challenge STXCL 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +18	Away Dyess Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	44%	1–1	1.56	2.79	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 10:00 AM	Challenge Aggieland STXCL 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +6	Home Zube Park	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	2–0	2.46	2.75	Bank it
Sun Nov 8 12:00 PM	Challenge East STXCL 13th · 1-1-3 · GD -6	Away far trip Lindsay/Lyons Park	●○○○○ Favorable	85%	2–0	2.67	2.74	Bank it
Sat Nov 14 02:00 PM	Lonestar ATX STXCL White 2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +9	Home Dyess Park	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	1–0	2.01	2.67	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 02:00 PM	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold 9th · 2-0-2 · GD +5	Home Dyess Park	●○○○○ Favorable	77%	2–0	2.45	2.65	Bank it
Sat Nov 21 01:00 PM	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold 8th · 2-2-1 · GD +3	Away far trip Westcreek	●●○○○ Lean win	67%	2–0	2.21	2.61	Swing game
Sun Nov 22 10:00 AM	Lonestar RGV STXCL 12th · 1-1-3 · GD -2	Away far trip Classics Elite Soccer Complex	●○○○○ Favorable	78%	2–0	2.49	2.60	Bank it
Sun Apr 11 12:00 PM	Lonestar SAT STXCL 15th · 1-0-5 · GD -24	Home Dyess Park	●○○○○ Favorable	99%	7–0	2.98	2.63	Bank it
Sat Apr 17 02:00 PM	Houstonians FC STXCL 16th · 1-0-5 · GD -30	Home Dyess Park	●○○○○ Favorable	100%	7–0	2.99	2.66	Bank it
Sun Apr 25 12:00 PM	Dynamos STXCL 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +21	Away Dyess Park	●●○○○ Lean win	60%	2–1	1.98	2.61	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Coastal Premier STXCL

+23

3.00

WWWWW

-0.33

-0.04

100%

1.4

W	Sun Sep 27	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Force FC STXCL (17th)	7–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Challenge STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs Challenge Aggieland STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at Challenge East STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	2–0	77%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–0	85%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	1–0	59%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	2–0	77%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	2–0	67%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	2–0	78%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	7–0	99%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	7–0	100%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	2–1	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STXCL White

3.00

WWWW

-0.25

-0.00

73%

3.7

W	Fri Sep 25	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lonestar SAT STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Nov 8 vs Force FC STXCL See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	2–0	74%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–1	17%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–1	25%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–0	74%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–1	55%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–0	58%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Fri Apr 16	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	1–0	46%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–0	58%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–0	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Challenge STXCL

+18

2.50

WWWWL

-0.60

+0.23

86%

3.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	8–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSC STXCL NextUp · Sat Oct 31 vs Coastal Premier STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs FC Westlake STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	2–0	74%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	1–0	49%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	1–0	56%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	2–0	76%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	5–0	98%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I

+14

2.29

WWWLW

+0.48

-0.51

91%

2.8

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	2–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	11–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	2–1
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	3–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Houstonians FC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Sting CC STXCL Hennessy · Sun Nov 15 vs TC Premier SC STXCL See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	2–1	74%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Force FC STXCL (17th)	4–0	96%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–0	82%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	3–1	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Challenge Aggieland STXCL

1.83

WWWLD

+0.24

-0.17

10%

6.7

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Houstonians FC STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at PSC STXCL NextUp · Sat Nov 7 at Coastal Premier STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	5–0	96%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–1	45%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–1	62%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dynamos STXCL

+21

1.67

WWLWD

-0.77

+0.29

25%

5.6

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	3–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	9–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	7–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	2–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Challenge East STXCL · Sat Nov 14 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	3–1	64%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	7–1	96%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	4–1	81%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	1–2	22%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

TC Premier SC STXCL

1.67

LLWWD

+0.88

-0.60

6.7

D	Sat Oct 17	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	4–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–4
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	4–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Force FC STXCL · Sun Nov 8 at Sting CC STXCL Hennessy · Sat Nov 14 at Challenge Aggieland STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	4–0	92%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	4–0	91%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–1	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold

1.60

DDWLW

-0.11

-0.03

8.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 13	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–0
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar RGV STXCL · Sun Oct 25 at Force FC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at Houstonians FC STXCL See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–1	43%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–0	84%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–1	20%
·	Fri Apr 9	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	1–0	54%
·	Fri Apr 16	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–1	26%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	1–0	61%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–1	43%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold

1.50

LWWL

-0.23

+0.03

8.2

L	Fri Sep 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	8–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC STXCL Hennessy · Sun Oct 25 at FC Westlake STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Lonestar SAT STXCL See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	4–1	91%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–3	20%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–0	68%
·	Fri Apr 9	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–0	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting CC STXCL Hennessy

-1

1.43

DLWWW

-0.07

-0.01

9.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 8 vs TC Premier SC STXCL · Sat Nov 14 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–1	30%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	1–2	11%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	4–0	89%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–1	19%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	1–1	32%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Westlake STXCL

-9

1.20

WWLLL

+0.16

+0.04

12.6

L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	0–7
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Force FC STXCL · Sun Oct 25 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 vs Lonestar ATX STXCL White See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	2–1	71%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–2	15%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	12%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–1	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar RGV STXCL

-2

0.80

WLLDL

+0.38

-0.16

10.9

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	0–1
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	2–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Westlake STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	1–1	31%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–2	8%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–0	83%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–1	19%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	3–1	80%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Challenge East STXCL

-6

0.80

LWDLL

-0.08

+0.12

13.1

L	Sat Sep 26	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	0–2
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	0–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dynamos STXCL · Sat Oct 31 at Houstonians FC STXCL · Sat Nov 7 at PSC STXCL NextUp See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	1–1	23%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–2	4%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	2–0	69%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–1	20%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–2	6%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–2	18%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSC STXCL NextUp

-3

0.50

LLLLW

-0.06

+0.01

12.4

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	10–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	0–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Challenge STXCL · Sun Nov 1 vs Challenge Aggieland STXCL · Sat Nov 7 vs Challenge East STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	1–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	4–1	82%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–0	86%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–4	9%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Lonestar SAT STXCL

-24

0.50

LLLLW

+0.07

+0.17

15.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–2
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	3–11
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–8

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX STXCL White · Sat Oct 31 at Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Westlake STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	1–4	3%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Houstonians FC STXCL

-30

0.50

LLLLL

-0.03

+0.37

16.0

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	0–10
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	0–9
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Force FC STXCL (17th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Challenge Aggieland STXCL · Sat Oct 31 vs Challenge East STXCL · Sun Nov 1 at AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–3	4%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	0–4	4%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–7	0%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–5	1%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Force FC STXCL

-26

0.00

LLLLL

-0.06

+0.27

16.7

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Lonestar SAT STXCL (15th)	2–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting CC STXCL Hennessy (10th)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Challenge STXCL (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Coastal Premier STXCL (1st)	0–7
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Dynamos STXCL (6th)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Houstonians FC STXCL (16th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Westlake STXCL · Sun Oct 25 vs Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold · Sat Oct 31 at TC Premier SC STXCL See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Westlake STXCL (11th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Lonestar ATX STH STXCL Gold (8th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	TC Premier SC STXCL (7th)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Lonestar ATX STXCL White (2nd)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Challenge East STXCL (13th)	0–2	13%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Challenge Aggieland STXCL (5th)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	AHFC CENTRAL STXCL I (4th)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	PSC STXCL NextUp (14th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Lonestar RGV STXCL (12th)	0–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Lonestar ATX NTH STXCL Gold (9th)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.98 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.