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Nido Dallas

ECNL Regional League Boys · Texas BU13 · 16 teams · Club America Nido Dallas (all teams)

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15th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-20 goal diff · 3–23
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.5
+0.92 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Nido Dallas
15th · 0.00 PPG
vs
FC Westlake
6th · 2.00 PPG

Saginaw High School , field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.4 against · 0.31 expected points)

Season so farNido DallasFC Westlake
Position15th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-52-2-0
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game0.62.3
Goals against / game4.61.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L L L L LD W W D
Biggest win—5–1 at San Antonio City SC
Worst loss0–8 at CHALLENGE UNITED—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.19+0.63
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.92-0.19

Common opponents: HTX S — we 0–5; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Westlake concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs FC Dallas Youth, 0–8 at CHALLENGE UNITED, 0–5 vs HTX S.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    DKSC sit 14th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above DKSC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Westlake game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas – FC Westlake) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Win
0.50 PPG
14th▲ up 1 14th▲ up 1 15th— holds
Draw
0.17 PPG
14th▲ up 1 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 4%
  13. 13th 11%
  14. 14th 32%
  15. 15th 37%
  16. 16th 15%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Houstonians FC 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.27) 45 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Texans 2.71 (+2.71) 1st (2.62) 41 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 HTX S 2.29 (+2.29) 3rd (2.09) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth 2.14 (+2.14) 6th (1.78) 33 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
5 CHALLENGE UNITED 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.85) 30 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 FC Westlake 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.79) 30 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
7 RISE SC 1.75 (+1.75) 9th (1.56) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 SOLAR SC 1.57 (+1.57) 7th (1.77) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
9 SAFC 1.43 (+1.43) 8th (1.62) 22 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Sting 1.40 (+1.40) 11th (1.11) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
11 HTX N 1.29 (+1.29) 10th (1.51) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
12 Albion Hurricanes FC 0.75 (+0.75) 12th (0.91) 12 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
13 Lonestar ATX White 0.50 (+0.50) 13th (0.77) Win next game
14 DKSC 0.17 (+0.17) 14th (0.51) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Nido Dallas to FC Westlake through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
7 favour them
-4.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 1–1 1–3 1–0 2–2 2–6 7–0 1–5 0–1 4–0 3–0 0–8 4–1 2–4 Nido Dallas 15th HTX S 3rd Houstonians FC 1st HTX N 11th FC Dallas Youth 4th CHALLENGE UNITED 5th SOLAR SC 8th San Antonio City SC 16th FC Westlake 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.26 · 13th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
11:00 AM
no score posted
Albion Hurricanes FC
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -9
Home
Saginaw High School
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.94 0.16 Upside
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted
RISE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD +1
Home
Saginaw High School
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.46 0.20 Upside
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
FC Westlake
6th · 2-2-0 · GD +5
Home
Saginaw High School
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 0.21 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Lonestar ATX White
13th · 1-0-5 · GD -8
Home
Saginaw High School
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.13 0.31 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Sting
10th · 2-1-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
Sting National Training Center
●●●●● Very tough
14%
0–2 0.60 0.34 Upside
Sat Nov 7
TBD
SAFC
9th · 3-1-3 · GD -3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.38 0.35 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
San Antonio City SC
16th · 0-0-7 · GD -35
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.78 0.47 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
TBD
SOLAR SC
8th · 3-2-2 · GD +14
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.09 0.44 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Dallas Texans
2nd · 6-1-0 · GD +33
Home
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.41 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
DKSC
14th · 0-1-5 · GD -25
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.26 0.46 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Houstonians FC 5500 143+11 153.00 WWWWW -0.77 +0.19 90% 2.7
2 Dallas Texans 7610 385+33 192.71 WWWWW -0.26 -0.18 100% 1.2
3 HTX S 7511 185+13 162.29 DLWWW -0.44 +0.13 76% 3.6
4 FC Dallas Youth 7502 139+4 152.14 WLWWW -0.31 +0.21 23% 6.4
5 CHALLENGE UNITED 6402 2514+11 122.00 WWWLL -0.42 +0.23 38% 5.6
6 FC Westlake 4220 94+5 82.00 DWWD -0.19 -0.01 29% 6.1
7 RISE SC 4211 76+1 71.75 WDLW +0.36 -0.18 8% 8.0
8 SOLAR SC 7322 228+14 111.57 WDWWD -0.51 +0.22 26% 6.0
9 SAFC 7313 1013-3 101.43 WDWLL +1.07 -0.95 6% 7.7
10 Sting 5212 45-1 71.40 LWDLW -1.08 +0.57 0% 11.0
11 HTX N 7304 2314+9 91.29 WWLLL -0.29 +0.25 5% 8.3
12 Albion Hurricanes FC 4103 514-9 30.75 LWLL +0.71 -0.18 0% 12.2
13 Lonestar ATX White 6105 210-8 30.50 WLLLL +0.41 -0.21 0% 12.8
14 DKSC 6015 530-25 10.17 LDLLL +0.86 -0.33 0% 14.3
15 Nido Dallas 5005 323-20 00.00 LLLLL +0.92 -0.26 0% 14.5
16 San Antonio City SC 7007 237-35 00.00 LLLLL +0.99 -0.50 0% 15.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.01 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.