Result · Sunday, Sep 27, 10:00 AM
HTX S 1–2 SAFC
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 15% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 66% home, 19% draw, 15% away, most likely 2–0.
| Season so far | HTX S | SAFC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 3-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 1.43 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | L L W D W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Nido Dallas | 3–0 at Sting |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs SAFC | 0–5 at Dallas Texans |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.20 | -0.02 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.44 | +1.07 |
Already met this season: Sep 27 1–2 (home for HTX S)
Common opponents: SOLAR SC — HTX S 3–0; SAFC 1–1. CHALLENGE UNITED — HTX S 4–2; SAFC 1–3.
What's at stake
| HTX S | SAFC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 9th |
| Games left | 8 | 8 |
| Chance of top 4 | 78% | 6% |
| Chance of 1st | 2% | 0% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 7.8 |
How the results connect
15 chains
4 favour HTX S, 6 favour SAFC, 5 even; average margin -0.2 goals toward HTX S.
- -1HTX S lost to SAFC 1–2
- +3HTX S beat SOLAR SC 3–0 → SOLAR SC drew with SAFC 1–1
- +4HTX S beat CHALLENGE UNITED 4–2 → CHALLENGE UNITED beat SAFC 3–1
- 0HTX S beat DKSC 3–0 → DKSC lost to CHALLENGE UNITED 2–7 → CHALLENGE UNITED beat SAFC 3–1
- 0HTX S beat DKSC 3–0 → DKSC drew with Sting 1–1 → Sting lost to SAFC 0–3
- 0HTX S beat Nido Dallas 5–0 → Nido Dallas lost to HTX N 2–6 → HTX N lost to SAFC 1–2
Full picture: HTX S · SAFC · Texas BU13 standings