Eagles SC
ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU16 · 18 teams · Eagles SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, TBD
Venue TBD
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.7 for, 0.7 against · 2.50 expected points)
| Season so far | Eagles SC | CDA Slammers FC White |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17th | 18th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-4 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | — | L L L L |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | 0–7 vs LAFC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | -1.73 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.47 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
CDA Slammers FC White average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 4 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
CDA Slammers FC White concede 3.2/game; worst result 0–7 vs LAFC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 2–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Confidence is low on their side
CDA Slammers FC White have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Legends FC Black sit 16th on 0.25 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Legends FC Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eagles SC – CDA Slammers FC White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 15 | 2nd▲ up 15 | 2nd▲ up 15 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 15 | 2nd▲ up 15 | 2nd▲ up 15 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
13th▲ up 4 | 13th▲ up 4 | 16th▲ up 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
18th▼ down 1 | 18th▼ down 1 | 18th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 1%
- 3rd 3%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 8%
- 6th 9%
- 7th 9%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 9%
- 10th 8%
- 11th 7%
- 12th 7%
- 13th 6%
- 14th 6%
- 15th 6%
- 16th 3%
- 17th 2%
- 18th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAFC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.56) | Win next game |
| 2 | Legends FC Gold | 2.33 (+2.33) | 3rd (2.00) | A point next game |
| 3 | Sporting California USA RED | 2.33 (+2.33) | 4th (1.85) | A point next game |
| 4 | San Diego Surf Blue | 2.25 (+2.25) | 2nd (2.03) | A point next game |
| 5 | Beach Futbol Club Gold | 1.75 (+1.75) | 6th (1.47) | A point next game |
| 6 | Rebels SC | 1.75 (+1.75) | 7th (1.47) | A point next game |
| 7 | West Coast FC Navy | 1.50 (+1.50) | 10th (1.38) | A point next game |
| 8 | SDSC Surf Gold | 1.50 (+1.50) | 5th (1.54) | A point next game |
| 9 | CDA Slammers FC Maroon | 1.40 (+1.40) | 13th (1.23) | A point next game |
| 10 | SDSC Surf Blue | 1.25 (+1.25) | 9th (1.39) | A point next game |
| 11 | Pateadores Gold | 1.20 (+1.20) | 15th (1.10) | A point next game |
| 12 | LV Heat Surf | 1.00 (+1.00) | 14th (1.16) | A point next game |
| 13 | Pateadores Blue | 1.00 (+1.00) | 12th (1.24) | A point next game |
| 14 | San Diego Surf White | 1.00 (+1.00) | 16th (1.08) | A point next game |
| 15 | Sporting California USA NAVY | 0.75 (+0.75) | 11th (1.31) | Already ahead |
| 16 | Legends FC Black | 0.25 (+0.25) | 17th (0.74) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
8 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 9th hardest of 18
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Sep 20 01:00 PM no score posted |
Pateadores Blue 13th · 1-1-2 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Great Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.36 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sun Sep 27 01:00 PM no score posted |
San Diego Surf Blue 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home Pleasant Valley Fields |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 0.99 | 1.18 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 4 12:00 PM no score posted |
Sporting California USA NAVY 15th · 1-0-3 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
San Bernardino Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 1.20 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 11 01:00 PM no score posted |
Rebels SC 6th · 2-1-1 · GD -1 |
Home Pleasant Valley Fields |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.56 | 1.29 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 18 01:00 PM no score posted |
San Diego Surf White 14th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.63 | 1.36 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC White 18th · 0-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
2–0 | 2.50 | 1.55 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
SDSC Surf Gold 8th · 2-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Ryan Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.50 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 TBD |
Pateadores Gold 11th · 2-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
1–1 | 1.86 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM |
SDSC Surf Blue 10th · 1-2-1 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Maranatha Christian School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.23 | 1.51 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 22 06:00 PM |
West Coast FC Navy 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Saddleback College |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.24 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
LV Heat Surf 12th · 2-1-4 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 11:00 AM |
Legends FC Black 16th · 0-1-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Silverlakes Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 1.52 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Maroon 9th · 2-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.54 | 1.52 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
LAFC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +16 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.65 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Sporting California USA RED 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.11 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Beach Futbol Club Gold 5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.40 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Legends FC Gold 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +6 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAFC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.12 | -0.10 | 100% | 1.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pateadores Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs San Diego Surf White · Sun Nov 8 vs West Coast FC Navy See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Legends FC Gold | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -0.21 | -0.04 | 82% | 3.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Legends FC Black · Sun Oct 11 at SDSC Surf Gold · Sat Oct 31 at San Diego Surf Blue See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sporting California USA RED | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.39 | +0.04 | 60% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Rebels SC · Sun Nov 1 at SDSC Surf Blue · Sun Nov 8 at CDA Slammers FC White See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | San Diego Surf Blue | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | +0.11 | -0.10 | 83% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eagles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Legends FC Gold · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting California USA NAVY See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Beach Futbol Club Gold | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | WLDW | -0.65 | +0.18 | 13% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SDSC Surf Gold · Sun Nov 1 at West Coast FC Navy · Sun Nov 8 vs SDSC Surf Blue See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rebels SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 7 | 1.75 | DWWL | +0.51 | -0.14 | 10% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Eagles SC · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting California USA RED · Sun Nov 1 at CDA Slammers FC Maroon See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | West Coast FC Navy | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.29 | +0.08 | 7% | 9.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Legends FC Black · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold · Sun Nov 8 at LAFC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SDSC Surf Gold | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | +0.41 | -0.14 | 16% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs Legends FC Gold · Sun Oct 25 at Beach Futbol Club Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs Eagles SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | CDA Slammers FC Maroon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | 1.40 | LDWWL | +0.21 | -0.05 | 1% | 11.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores Gold · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC · Sun Nov 8 at Pateadores Blue See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | SDSC Surf Blue | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 5 | 1.25 | WDLD | +0.30 | -0.11 | 8% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LV Heat Surf · Sun Nov 1 vs Sporting California USA RED · Sun Nov 8 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Pateadores Gold | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 | 1.20 | LWLLW | -0.06 | +0.06 | 0% | 13.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs CDA Slammers FC Maroon · Sun Nov 1 at Pateadores Blue · Sun Nov 8 at Eagles SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | LV Heat Surf | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | +0 | 7 | 1.00 | LWLWL | -0.30 | +0.21 | 0% | 12.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs SDSC Surf Blue · Sun Nov 15 vs West Coast FC Navy · Sun Nov 22 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Pateadores Blue | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | 1.00 | LWDL | -0.08 | +0.03 | 2% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Eagles SC · Sat Oct 24 at LAFC · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting California USA NAVY See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | San Diego Surf White | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.18 | +0.01 | 1% | 13.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Eagles SC · Sun Oct 25 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting California USA NAVY See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Sporting California USA NAVY | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | 0.75 | LLLW | +0.26 | -0.10 | 6% | 10.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Eagles SC · Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs San Diego Surf White See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Legends FC Black | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | 0.25 | LLLD | +0.07 | +0.04 | 0% | 16.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Legends FC Gold · Sun Oct 11 vs CDA Slammers FC White · Sun Oct 25 vs West Coast FC Navy See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Eagles SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Sep 20 at Pateadores Blue · Sun Sep 27 vs San Diego Surf Blue · Sun Oct 4 at Sporting California USA NAVY See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | CDA Slammers FC White | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.47 | -0.02 | 0% | 17.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Legends FC Black · Sun Oct 25 at Eagles SC · Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC Gold See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.72 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.