Result · Sunday, Oct 4, 09:00 AM
LV Heat Surf 4–5 SDSC Surf Gold
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 38% chance — a mild surprise. Pre-match odds were 44% home, 18% draw, 38% away, most likely 2–2.
| Season so far | LV Heat Surf | SDSC Surf Gold |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-4 | 2-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.9 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L W L | W W L L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs CDA Slammers FC White | 3–2 vs Sporting California USA NAVY |
| Worst loss | 0–2 at San Diego Surf White | 2–4 at West Coast FC Navy |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.07 | +0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.30 | +0.41 |
Already met this season: Oct 4 4–5 (home for LV Heat Surf)
What's at stake
| LV Heat Surf | SDSC Surf Gold | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 12th | 8th |
| Games left | 10 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 1% | 17% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 12.1 | 7.5 |
How the results connect
7 chains
1 favour LV Heat Surf, 5 favour SDSC Surf Gold, 1 even; average margin -1.0 goals toward LV Heat Surf.
- -1LV Heat Surf lost to SDSC Surf Gold 4–5
- 0LV Heat Surf drew with Rebels SC 2–2 → Rebels SC beat Sporting California USA NAVY 1–0 → Sporting California USA NAVY lost to SDSC Surf Gold 2–3
- -2LV Heat Surf beat CDA Slammers FC White 4–0 → CDA Slammers FC White lost to LAFC 0–7 → LAFC beat SDSC Surf Gold 3–2
- -2LV Heat Surf drew with Rebels SC 2–2 → Rebels SC lost to LAFC 0–3 → LAFC beat SDSC Surf Gold 3–2
- -3LV Heat Surf lost to San Diego Surf Blue 0–2 → San Diego Surf Blue lost to LAFC 2–4 → LAFC beat SDSC Surf Gold 3–2
- -4LV Heat Surf lost to Pateadores Gold 1–2 → Pateadores Gold lost to Sporting California USA NAVY 0–2 → Sporting California USA NAVY lost to SDSC Surf Gold 2–3
Full picture: LV Heat Surf · SDSC Surf Gold · Southwest BU16 standings