Eastside FC
ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · Eastside FC (WA) (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.7 for, 1.3 against · 2.53 expected points)
| Season so far | Eastside FC | Valor Soccer |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-4 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 8.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L L L | L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black | — |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at Spokane Shadow | 1–11 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.05 | -3.36 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.97 | +1.54 |
Common opponents: Seattle United — we 1–2; they 0–5. Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black — we 3–0; they 1–11. PacNW SC — we 1–1; they 0–9.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Valor Soccer average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.4); blanked in 2 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Valor Soccer concede 8.3/game; worst result 1–11 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 81% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
Valor Soccer have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Petrovitsky Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Whatcom FC Rangers sit 8th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.67.A point moves us above Whatcom FC Rangers on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Valor Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eastside FC – Valor Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.00 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 2 | 9th— holds |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
8th▲ up 1 | 7th▲ up 2 | 9th— holds |
| Draw 0.71 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 11th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.57 PPG |
11th▼ down 2 | 11th▼ down 2 | 12th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 8%
- 7th 34%
- 8th 47%
- 9th 6%
- 10th 2%
- 11th <1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seattle United | 2.50 (+1.83) | 1st (2.44) | 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Northwest United | 2.50 (+1.83) | 2nd (2.26) | 56 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 3 | Central Washington Sounders | 2.29 (+1.62) | 3rd (2.02) | 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 4 | PacNW SC | 1.63 (+0.96) | 4th (1.92) | 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 5 | Spokane Shadow | 1.63 (+0.96) | 6th (1.78) | 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 6 | Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black | 1.57 (+0.90) | 5th (1.85) | 34 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 7 | Washington Premier | 1.20 (+0.53) | 7th (1.46) | 25 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 8 | Whatcom FC Rangers | 0.75 (+0.08) | 9th (0.92) | A point next game |
How the results connect
11 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Eastside FC to Valor Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
11 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.56 · 13th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 12 TBD no score posted |
Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black 6th · 3-2-2 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.86 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 11 11:00 AM no score posted |
XF 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -11 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.43 | 0.91 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Valor Soccer 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -24 |
Away Petrovitsky Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.53 | 1.09 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Columbia Premier SC 11th · 1-1-5 · GD -19 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–0 | 2.32 | 1.21 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
Snohomish United 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
Snohomish High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.84 | 1.27 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
Northwest United 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +15 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 01:00 PM |
Central Washington Sounders 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +7 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.18 | 1.23 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 TBD |
Whatcom FC Rangers 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.88 | 1.28 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 6 12:00 PM |
Seattle United 1st · 6-2-0 · GD +28 |
Away far trip
TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.40 | 1.22 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 11:00 AM |
PacNW SC 4th · 4-1-3 · GD +15 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 20 11:00 AM |
Washington Premier 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
WPFC Field Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 10 01:00 PM |
Spokane Shadow 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +6 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.24 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 01:00 PM |
Columbia Premier SC 11th · 1-1-5 · GD -19 |
Away far trip
Harmony Sports Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.10 | 1.26 | Swing game |
| Sun Jan 31 01:00 PM |
Whatcom FC Rangers 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.13 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 6 03:00 PM |
Snohomish United 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.11 | 1.34 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 TBD |
XF 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -11 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.18 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 13 03:00 PM |
Valor Soccer 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -24 |
Home PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.70 | 1.44 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 21 11:00 AM |
Northwest United 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
Skagit Valley College |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–2 | 0.62 | 1.40 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Seattle United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 6 | +28 | 20 | 2.50 | WDWDW | -0.84 | -0.12 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Northwest United · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Spokane Shadow See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Northwest United | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | +0.03 | -0.41 | 97% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at XF · Sun Oct 25 vs Seattle United · Sat Oct 31 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Central Washington Sounders | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 16 | 2.29 | WWLDW | +0.33 | -0.46 | 73% | 3.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at XF · Sun Sep 27 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 25 vs Washington Premier See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | PacNW SC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 13 | +15 | 13 | 1.63 | WLWLD | -0.17 | -0.39 | 59% | 4.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at XF · Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United · Sat Nov 7 at Columbia Premier SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Spokane Shadow | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 13 | 1.63 | DWWLL | +0.20 | -0.44 | 26% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs XF · Sat Oct 24 vs Valor Soccer · Sun Oct 25 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 15 | +10 | 11 | 1.57 | WLDLW | -0.07 | -0.31 | 43% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Eastside FC · Sat Sep 26 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 18 at Washington Premier See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Washington Premier | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | +0.54 | -0.36 | 2% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black · Sun Oct 25 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Oct 31 vs XF See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Whatcom FC Rangers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.69 | -0.24 | 0% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black · Sun Sep 27 vs Central Washington Sounders · Sat Oct 3 at XF See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Eastside FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 4 | 0.67 | LLLWD | +0.97 | -0.56 | 1% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black · Sun Oct 11 vs XF · Sun Oct 25 at Valor Soccer See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Snohomish United | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 4 | 0.67 | DLLWL | +0.25 | -0.20 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 vs XF · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastside FC · Sun Nov 8 at Washington Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Columbia Premier SC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 4 | 0.57 | DLLWL | +0.72 | -0.26 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs XF · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC · Sun Nov 1 at Spokane Shadow See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | XF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +2.27 | -0.09 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at Snohomish United · Sun Sep 20 vs Central Washington Sounders · Sun Sep 27 at Columbia Premier SC See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Valor Soccer | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 25 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.54 | -0.09 | 0% | 12.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 18 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Oct 24 at Spokane Shadow See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.