Columbia Premier SC

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northwest BU18/19 · 13 teams · Columbia Premier Soccer Club (all teams)

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11th

1-1-5 record · 7 played

0.57 points per game

-19 goal diff · 4–23

DLLWLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.1

+0.72 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 11:00 AM

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Columbia Premier SC
11th · 0.57 PPG

Eastside FC
9th · 0.67 PPG

PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS, Field 1 ↗ far trip

12% 17% 72%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.9 for, 2.5 against · 0.52 expected points)

Season so far	Columbia Premier SC	Eastside FC
Position	11th	9th
Record (W-D-L)	1-1-5	1-1-4
Points per game	0.57	0.67
Goals for / game	0.6	1.5
Goals against / game	3.3	1.8
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	6	0
Form (recent first)	L W L L D	D W L L L
Biggest win	4–3 vs Snohomish United	3–0 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black
Worst loss	0–5 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black	1–3 at Spokane Shadow
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.65	+0.05
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.72	+0.97

Common opponents: Central Washington Sounders — we 0–3; they 1–2. Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black — we 0–5; they 3–0. Spokane Shadow — we 0–0; they 1–3. Washington Premier — we 0–4; they 2–3. Seattle United — we 0–3; they 1–2.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–3 at Central Washington Sounders, 0–5 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black, 0–0 vs Spokane Shadow, 0–5 at Northwest United, 0–4 vs Washington Premier, 0–3 vs Seattle United.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 12%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Snohomish United sit 10th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.57.
A point moves us above Snohomish United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastside FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Columbia Premier SC – Eastside FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.50 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	13th▼ down 2
Win 0.88 PPG	8th▲ up 3	9th▲ up 2	12th▼ down 1
Draw 0.63 PPG	11th— holds	9th▲ up 2	13th▼ down 2
Loss 0.50 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

11.1 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th <1%
8th 1%
9th 8%
10th 18%
11th 34%
12th 33%
13th 6%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Seattle United	2.50 (+1.93)	1st (2.44)	59 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Northwest United	2.50 (+1.93)	2nd (2.26)	59 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
3	Central Washington Sounders	2.29 (+1.72)	3rd (2.02)	54 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
4	PacNW SC	1.63 (+1.06)	4th (1.92)	37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
5	Spokane Shadow	1.63 (+1.06)	6th (1.78)	37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
6	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black	1.57 (+1.00)	5th (1.85)	36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
7	Washington Premier	1.20 (+0.63)	7th (1.46)	26 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
8	Whatcom FC Rangers	0.75 (+0.18)	9th (0.92)	A point next game
9	Eastside FC	0.67 (+0.10)	8th (1.40)	A point next game
10	Snohomish United	0.67 (+0.10)	10th (0.90)	A point next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Columbia Premier SC to Eastside FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us

4 even

18 favour them

-2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.26 · 6th hardest of 13

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Sep 27 03:00 PM no score posted	XF 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -11	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	42%	2–2	1.44	0.68	Upside
Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM	Eastside FC 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -2	Away far trip PRESTON PARK ATHLETIC FIELDS	●●●●● Very tough	12%	0–2	0.52	0.66	Upside
Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM	Spokane Shadow 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +6	Away far trip Spokane Shadow Polo Fields	●●●●● Very tough	7%	0–3	0.31	0.63	Upside
Sat Nov 7 01:00 PM	PacNW SC 4th · 4-1-3 · GD +15	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	7%	1–3	0.31	0.60	Upside
Sun Nov 8 03:00 PM	Whatcom FC Rangers 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -10	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–1	1.23	0.65	Upside
Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black 6th · 3-2-2 · GD +10	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	8%	1–3	0.35	0.63	Upside
Sun Nov 15 03:00 PM	Valor Soccer 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -24	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●○○○ Lean win	58%	2–1	1.92	0.72	Swing game
Sat Dec 5 03:00 PM	Snohomish United 10th · 1-1-4 · GD -12	Away far trip Snohomish High School · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.90	0.73	Upside
Sun Dec 6 01:00 PM	Washington Premier 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -3	Away far trip WPFC Field Complex	●●●●● Very tough	12%	1–2	0.49	0.72	Upside
Sun Dec 13 TBD	XF 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -11	Away	●●●●○ Tough	31%	2–2	1.13	0.74	Upside
Sun Jan 10 01:00 PM	Northwest United 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +15	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	5%	0–3	0.24	0.71	Upside
Sat Jan 16 TBD	Whatcom FC Rangers 8th · 1-0-3 · GD -10	Away	●●●●○ Tough	25%	1–1	0.98	0.73	Upside
Sun Jan 17 12:00 PM	Seattle United 1st · 6-2-0 · GD +28	Away far trip TBD	●●●●● Very tough	1%	0–4	0.08	0.70	Upside
Sat Jan 23 01:00 PM	Eastside FC 9th · 1-1-4 · GD -2	Home Harmony Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	17%	1–2	0.70	0.70	Upside
Sun Jan 31 TBD	Central Washington Sounders 3rd · 5-1-1 · GD +7	Home	●●●●● Very tough	10%	1–2	0.43	0.68	Upside
Fri Feb 19 TBD	PacNW SC 4th · 4-1-3 · GD +15	Away	●●●●● Very tough	4%	0–3	0.19	0.66	Upside
Sat Feb 20 TBD	Valor Soccer 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -24	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	48%	2–1	1.63	0.70	Swing game
Sat Feb 20 TBD	PacNW SC 4th · 4-1-3 · GD +15	Away	●●●●● Very tough	4%	0–3	0.19	0.68	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Seattle United

+28

2.50

WDWDW

-0.84

-0.12

100%

1.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–0
D	Sun Oct 11	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	5–0
D	Sat Oct 3	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	XF (12th)	11–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	5–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Northwest United · Sat Oct 31 vs PacNW SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Spokane Shadow See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Northwest United (2nd)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–0	78%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	PacNW SC (4th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	XF (12th)	5–1	95%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	4–0	95%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Snohomish United (10th)	4–0	88%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	6–0	98%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Washington Premier (7th)	3–1	76%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Northwest United

+15

2.50

WWWLW

+0.03

-0.41

97%

2.1

W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–1
L	Sat Oct 10	at	PacNW SC (4th)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	5–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Washington Premier (7th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	6–1

Next: Sun Oct 18 at XF · Sun Oct 25 vs Seattle United · Sat Oct 31 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	at	XF (12th)	5–1	91%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	7–1	98%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	7–1	98%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	XF (12th)	6–1	95%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Snohomish United (10th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	2–2	53%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1	69%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Central Washington Sounders

2.29

WWLDW

+0.33

-0.46

75%

3.7

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	4–3
D	Sun Oct 11	vs	Seattle United (1st)	2–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Snohomish United (10th)	1–2
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–0

Next: Sun Sep 20 at XF · Sun Sep 27 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 25 vs Washington Premier See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 20 (no score yet)	at	XF (12th)	4–1	82%
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	2–1	62%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	5–1	95%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	2–2	33%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	XF (12th)	4–1	89%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Washington Premier (7th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	5–1	91%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Jan 30	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PacNW SC

+15

1.63

WLWLD

-0.17

-0.39

59%

4.3

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–1
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	3–4
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	3–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	9–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	6–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 at XF · Sat Oct 31 at Seattle United · Sat Nov 7 at Columbia Premier SC See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	XF (12th)	5–1	88%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–1	83%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Snohomish United (10th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Washington Premier (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	XF (12th)	5–1	93%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	5–1	95%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Northwest United (2nd)	2–2	29%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	3–1	70%
·	Fri Feb 19	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–0	89%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–0	89%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Spokane Shadow

1.63

DWWLL

+0.20

-0.44

23%

5.4

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	3–4
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	3–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	4–2

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs XF · Sat Oct 24 vs Valor Soccer · Sun Oct 25 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	XF (12th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	5–1	94%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2	32%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–0	82%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	XF (12th)	4–1	80%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	1–2	31%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	4–1	90%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Washington Premier (7th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–2	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black

+10

1.57

WLDLW

-0.07

-0.31

43%

4.8

W	Sun Oct 11	at	PacNW SC (4th)	4–3
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Eastside FC (9th)	0–3
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Seattle United (1st)	2–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Northwest United (2nd)	2–5
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	11–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	Snohomish United (10th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	5–0

Next: Sat Sep 12 vs Eastside FC · Sat Sep 26 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 18 at Washington Premier See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	3–1	74%
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	at	Washington Premier (7th)	3–2	54%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	4–1	83%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	XF (12th)	5–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Seattle United (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Jan 30	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	7–1	97%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	XF (12th)	6–1	92%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	4–1	82%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Washington Premier

-3

1.20

LLLWW

+0.54

-0.36

7.2

W	Sat Oct 10	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Eastside FC (9th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–4

Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black · Sun Oct 25 at Central Washington Sounders · Sat Oct 31 vs XF See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–3	29%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	XF (12th)	4–1	79%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	5–1	89%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	3–1	66%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–1	74%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–3	12%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–1	42%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	XF (12th)	3–2	69%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	2–3	20%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Feb 14	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Whatcom FC Rangers

-10

0.75

LLWL

+0.69

-0.24

9.8

L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	0–4
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–5

Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black · Sun Sep 27 vs Central Washington Sounders · Sat Oct 3 at XF See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–3	13%
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	at	XF (12th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	XF (12th)	2–2	55%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	1–1	53%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	42%
·	Sun Jan 24	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Washington Premier (7th)	1–2	17%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastside FC

-2

0.67

LLLWD

+0.97

-0.56

7.5

D	Sun Oct 18	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	3–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–2

Next: Sat Sep 12 at Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black · Sun Oct 11 vs XF · Sun Oct 25 at Valor Soccer See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	vs	XF (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–0	72%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–1	32%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	56%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Washington Premier (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	XF (12th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–2	15%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Snohomish United

-12

0.67

DLLWL

+0.25

-0.20

9.9

L	Sun Oct 11	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	3–4
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	2–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–6
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–6

Next: Sat Sep 12 vs XF · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastside FC · Sun Nov 8 at Washington Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	vs	XF (12th)	3–2	59%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Washington Premier (7th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–2	37%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	Seattle United (1st)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	XF (12th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	3–1	65%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–4	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Columbia Premier SC

-19

0.57

DLLWL

+0.72

-0.26

11.1

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Seattle United (1st)	0–3
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	4–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Northwest United (2nd)	0–5
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	0–3

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs XF · Sat Oct 31 at Eastside FC · Sun Nov 1 at Spokane Shadow See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	XF (12th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Eastside FC (9th)	0–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–1	33%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Snohomish United (10th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Washington Premier (7th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	XF (12th)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Jan 16	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–1	25%
·	Sun Jan 17	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–2	10%
·	Fri Feb 19	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–3	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

-11

0.00

+2.27

-0.09

11.2

Sun Sep 13

Seattle United (1st)

0–11

Next: Sat Sep 12 at Snohomish United · Sun Sep 20 vs Central Washington Sounders · Sun Sep 27 at Columbia Premier SC See all 23 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 12 (no score yet)	at	Snohomish United (10th)	2–3	26%
·	Sun Sep 20 (no score yet)	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–4	9%
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Oct 3 (no score yet)	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–2	39%
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	vs	Northwest United (2nd)	1–5	4%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–5	6%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Washington Premier (7th)	1–4	11%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–5	7%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–4	10%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	2–2	28%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–6	2%
·	Sun Jan 10	vs	Valor Soccer (13th)	4–2	69%
·	Sat Jan 16	vs	Seattle United (1st)	1–5	2%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	2–3	18%
·	Sat Jan 23	at	PacNW SC (4th)	1–5	3%
·	Sun Jan 31	at	Valor Soccer (13th)	3–2	56%
·	Sun Feb 7	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–6	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Valor Soccer

-24

0.00

LLL

+1.54

-0.09

12.8

L	Sat Oct 10	at	Seattle United (1st)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 27	at	PacNW SC (4th)	0–9
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–11

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Whatcom FC Rangers · Sun Oct 18 vs Whatcom FC Rangers · Sat Oct 24 at Spokane Shadow See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Oct 18 (no score yet)	vs	Whatcom FC Rangers (8th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–5	2%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Eastside FC (9th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Washington Premier (7th)	1–5	5%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–7	1%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Northwest United (2nd)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Jan 9	at	Snohomish United (10th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Jan 9	vs	Spokane Shadow (5th)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Jan 10	at	XF (12th)	2–4	19%
·	Sun Jan 17	vs	Central Washington Sounders (3rd)	1–5	4%
·	Sat Jan 23	vs	Washington Premier (7th)	1–4	8%
·	Sun Jan 24	vs	PacNW SC (4th)	1–5	2%
·	Sun Jan 31	vs	XF (12th)	2–3	29%
·	Sun Feb 7	at	Wenatchee FA -RL B08/09 Black (6th)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Eastside FC (9th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Feb 14	vs	Seattle United (1st)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Columbia Premier SC (11th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Snohomish United (10th)	1–3	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.44 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.