FC Dutchmen Surf

ECNL Regional League Boys · Northeast BU13 · 12 teams · FC Dutchmen Surf (all teams)

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6th

2-1-1 record · 4 played

1.75 points per game

+4 goal diff · 14–10

WLWDlast 4

9% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.8

+0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 04:00 PM

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FC Dutchmen Surf
6th · 1.75 PPG

Eastern FC
8th · 1.20 PPG

Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N, field 3 ↗ far trip

58% 14% 28%

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 4–3 (expected goals 4.3 for, 3.2 against · 1.87 expected points)

Season so far	FC Dutchmen Surf	Eastern FC
Position	6th	8th
Record (W-D-L)	2-1-1	2-0-3
Points per game	1.75	1.20
Goals for / game	3.5	3.8
Goals against / game	2.5	5.0
Clean sheets	0	1
Held scoreless	0	2
Form (recent first)	D W L W	L L W L W
Biggest win	6–2 vs Eastern FC	14–4 at BWP Football Academy
Worst loss	2–3 at PSA North	0–9 at Western United Pioneers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.47	-0.98
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.21	-0.79

Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 6–2 vs Eastern FC (W)

Game plan

They leak goals — be greedy
Eastern FC concede 5.0/game; worst result 0–9 at Western United Pioneers FC.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Swing game — small margins
Win 58% / draw 14% / loss 28%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Away game
Kickoff 04:00 PM at Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
PSA North sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.
A win moves us above PSA North on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eastern FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dutchmen Surf – Eastern FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.00 PPG	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1	6th— holds
Win 2.00 PPG	5th▲ up 1	5th▲ up 1	6th— holds
Draw 1.60 PPG	6th— holds	6th— holds	7th▼ down 1
Loss 1.40 PPG	7th▼ down 1	7th▼ down 1	8th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–3 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

9% top 4

91% below the top 4

5.8 average finish

1st
2nd <1%
3rd 2%
4th 7%
5th 31%
6th 37%
7th 17%
8th 4%
9th 1%
10th
11th
12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	STA MOSC	2.50 (+0.75)	2nd (2.40)	43 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
2	Western United Pioneers FC	2.25 (+0.50)	1st (2.41)	38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3	Fox Soccer Academy	2.25 (+0.50)	3rd (2.14)	38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4	Brentwood SC	2.17 (+0.42)	4th (1.95)	37 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5	PSA North	2.00 (+0.25)	5th (1.65)	Win next game

How the results connect

12 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dutchmen Surf to Eastern FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us

3 favour them

+3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 6th hardest of 11

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Sep 27 02:00 PM no score posted	STA MOSC 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +20	Home DiCaprio Park	●●●●● Very tough	19%	1–3	0.74	1.55	Upside
Sun Oct 25 04:00 PM	Eastern FC 8th · 2-0-3 · GD -6	Away far trip Tibbetts Brook Park #3- 355 Midland Ave Yonkers, N	●●●○○ Toss-up	58%	4–3	1.87	1.60	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM	PSA North 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +1	Home DiCaprio Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	2–2	1.66	1.61	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 12:00 PM	STA MOSC 1st · 5-0-1 · GD +20	Away far trip Turkey Brook Park	●●●●● Very tough	13%	1–3	0.50	1.47	Upside
Sat Nov 14 01:30 PM	Long Island Slammers 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -3	Away far trip Moriches Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	2–2	1.74	1.50	Swing game
Sun Nov 15 TBD	Brentwood SC 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +21	Away	●●●●● Very tough	20%	2–4	0.73	1.42	Upside
Sun Mar 14 TBD	WNY Flash Binghamton 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -1	Away	●●●●○ Tough	41%	2–2	1.42	1.42	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	Fox Soccer Academy 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11	Away	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–3	0.69	1.36	Upside
Sat Apr 10 TBD	Quickstrike FC 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -33	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	4–1	2.72	1.47	Bank it
Sun Apr 11 TBD	Western United Pioneers FC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +16	Away	●●●●● Very tough	11%	1–3	0.43	1.39	Upside
Sat Apr 17 TBD	BWP Football Academy 11th · 0-0-4 · GD -30	Away	●○○○○ Favorable	88%	6–2	2.71	1.48	Bank it
Sat May 1 10:00 AM	Western United Pioneers FC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +16	Home DiCaprio Park	●●●●● Very tough	17%	1–3	0.65	1.43	Upside
Sat May 8 10:00 AM	Quickstrike FC 12th · 0-0-6 · GD -33	Home DiCaprio Park	●○○○○ Favorable	93%	5–1	2.84	1.51	Bank it
Sat May 15 10:00 AM	Fox Soccer Academy 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +11	Home DiCaprio Park	●●●●○ Tough	27%	2–3	0.97	1.48	Upside
Sat May 22 10:00 AM	BWP Football Academy 11th · 0-0-4 · GD -30	Home DiCaprio Park	●○○○○ Favorable	94%	7–1	2.84	1.55	Bank it
Sun May 23 10:00 AM	WNY Flash Binghamton 9th · 2-0-4 · GD -1	Home DiCaprio Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	2–2	1.75	1.56	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

STA MOSC

+20

2.50

WWWWL

-0.08

-0.26

99%

1.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	3–1
W	Sun Oct 4	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	8–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	9–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	2–1

Next: Sun Sep 27 at FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Oct 25 at WNY Flash Binghamton · Sun Nov 1 at BWP Football Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–1	65%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–1	97%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	6–0	98%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	5–1	91%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	PSA North (5th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–2	63%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat May 1	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–2	51%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PSA North (5th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–1	84%
·	Sun May 23	at	Eastern FC (8th)	5–1	84%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Western United Pioneers FC

+16

2.25

LWWW

+0.91

-0.54

100%

1.7

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	3–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	9–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	PSA North (5th)	5–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	STA MOSC (1st)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs PSA North · Sun Nov 1 vs Brentwood SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Long Island Slammers See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	PSA North (5th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–2	67%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	4–1	87%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Eastern FC (8th)	5–1	87%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Dec 5	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–2	55%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	9–1	99%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	6–0	97%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat May 8	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	3–1	71%
·	Sat May 15	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–1	98%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	7–0	99%
·	Sun May 23	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–1	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fox Soccer Academy

+11

2.25

WWLW

+0.90

-0.45

95%

3.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	PSA North (5th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	7–1

Next: Sun Sep 27 at Eastern FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Oct 25 at Brentwood SC See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	at	Eastern FC (8th)	4–2	78%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–3	41%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	5–1	86%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PSA North (5th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	STA MOSC (1st)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–1	96%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	6–0	97%
·	Sat May 8	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–1	98%
·	Sat May 15	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–2	56%
·	Sat May 22	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Brentwood SC

+21

2.17

LWWDW

-1.50

+0.35

80%

3.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	9–0
D	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 4	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	9–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–7
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	9–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Nov 1 at Western United Pioneers FC · Sun Nov 8 at WNY Flash Binghamton See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	3–2	43%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	2–3	19%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	9–1	98%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	4–2	67%
·	Sat Dec 5	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	2–3	29%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	PSA North (5th)	3–2	68%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	4–1	80%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	STA MOSC (1st)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	6–2	86%
·	Sat May 1	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	2–3	32%
·	Sat May 8	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	4–2	71%
·	Sat May 22	at	Eastern FC (8th)	6–3	77%
·	Sun May 23	at	PSA North (5th)	3–2	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA North

2.00

WWLWW

+0.11

-0.13

16%

5.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	6–0
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	0–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Western United Pioneers FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Nov 8 at BWP Football Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	5–2	85%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	4–1	91%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–3	19%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	6–1	91%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	4–2	66%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat May 1	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat May 8	at	Eastern FC (8th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat May 15	at	STA MOSC (1st)	1–3	12%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–3	28%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dutchmen Surf

1.75

WLWD

+0.21

-0.10

5.8

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	PSA North (5th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	6–2

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs STA MOSC · Sun Oct 25 at Eastern FC · Sun Nov 1 vs PSA North See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–3	19%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Eastern FC (8th)	4–3	58%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	PSA North (5th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	STA MOSC (1st)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	2–2	52%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–4	20%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	4–1	88%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	6–2	88%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–3	17%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	5–1	93%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–3	27%
·	Sat May 22	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–1	94%
·	Sun May 23	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	2–2	52%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Long Island Slammers

-3

1.20

WLWLL

-0.96

+0.42

8.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	0–3
L	Sun Oct 4	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–3
W	Sat Oct 3	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	5–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs Quickstrike FC · Sun Nov 1 at WNY Flash Binghamton See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	4–1	83%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	5–2	83%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	3–2	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	1–4	10%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	PSA North (5th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–3	11%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PSA North (5th)	2–2	33%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–4	17%
·	Sat May 15	at	Eastern FC (8th)	3–3	38%
·	Sat May 22	at	STA MOSC (1st)	1–3	7%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eastern FC

-6

1.20

WLWLL

-0.79

+0.42

8.4

L	Sat Oct 17	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	0–6
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	0–9
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–6
W	Sat Sep 12	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	14–4

Next: Sun Sep 27 vs Fox Soccer Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dutchmen Surf · Sun Nov 1 at Quickstrike FC See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 27 (no score yet)	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	2–4	12%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	3–4	28%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	5–2	80%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	7–3	86%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–5	7%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–5	6%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	2–3	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	STA MOSC (1st)	1–5	4%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	2–3	34%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	PSA North (5th)	2–4	21%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–6	7%
·	Sat May 8	vs	PSA North (5th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–3	46%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–6	14%
·	Sun May 23	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–5	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

WNY Flash Binghamton

-1

1.00

LWLWL

+0.44

-0.23

6.9

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	PSA North (5th)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	6–0
L	Sat Oct 3	at	PSA North (5th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	1–4
L	Sun Sep 13	at	STA MOSC (1st)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs STA MOSC · Sun Nov 1 vs Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 8 vs Brentwood SC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	2–3	25%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Eastern FC (8th)	3–2	49%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–3	9%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	5–1	89%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat May 1	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	4–1	81%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–3	14%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–2	22%
·	Sun May 23	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Copa Academy Brooklyn

0.00

—

BWP Football Academy

-30

0.00

LLLL

+0.64

+0.34

10.5

L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	0–9
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	3–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	STA MOSC (1st)	0–9
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	4–14

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs STA MOSC · Sat Nov 7 at Eastern FC · Sun Nov 8 vs PSA North See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Eastern FC (8th)	3–7	8%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PSA North (5th)	2–5	8%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	1–9	1%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	2–5	9%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Quickstrike FC (12th)	4–2	58%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	PSA North (5th)	1–6	4%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–7	2%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	2–6	6%
·	Sat May 1	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	1–4	10%
·	Sat May 8	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	1–7	1%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	1–7	1%
·	Sat May 22	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–7	3%
·	Sun May 23	at	Quickstrike FC (12th)	3–3	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Quickstrike FC

-33

0.00

LLLLL

+0.80

+0.15

10.7

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Brentwood SC (4th)	0–9
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	PSA North (5th)	0–6
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	STA MOSC (1st)	0–8
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Eastern FC (8th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Long Island Slammers (7th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Brentwood SC (4th)	3–9

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Long Island Slammers · Sun Nov 1 vs Eastern FC · Sat Nov 14 at STA MOSC See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Long Island Slammers (7th)	1–4	8%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Eastern FC (8th)	2–5	11%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	STA MOSC (1st)	0–6	0%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	PSA North (5th)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	BWP Football Academy (11th)	2–4	27%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	0–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	0–6	1%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat May 1	at	Fox Soccer Academy (3rd)	0–6	1%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC Dutchmen Surf (6th)	1–5	3%
·	Sat May 15	at	WNY Flash Binghamton (9th)	1–4	5%
·	Sat May 22	at	Western United Pioneers FC (2nd)	0–7	0%
·	Sun May 23	vs	BWP Football Academy (11th)	3–3	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (3.06 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.