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Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Boys · Florida BU17 · 10 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th
3-6-1 record · 10 played
1.50 points per game
+8 goal diff · 16–8
DDWDLlast 5
85% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.6
+0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:15 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
5th · 1.50 PPG
at
Davie United SC
9th · 0.67 PPG

Bamford Sports Complex, Mustang 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 1–0 (expected goals 1.9 for, 0.8 against · 2.16 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubDavie United SC
Position5th9th
Record (W-D-L)3-6-11-1-4
Points per game1.500.67
Goals for / game1.60.8
Goals against / game0.82.0
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)L D W D DL W L L D
Biggest win7–1 at Wellington SC3–2 vs Doral Soccer Club
Worst loss1–2 at Strikers Miami FC0–5 at AC Florida Tropical
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.65-0.76
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.11+0.10

Common opponents: Doral Soccer Club — we 1–1, 1–1; they 3–2. Athletic Club Florida — we 2–0; they 0–1. SWFL PREMIER FC — we 1–1; they 0–0. Cape Coral SA — we 2–1; they 1–2. AC Florida Tropical — we 0–0; they 0–5. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 0–0; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 vs AC Florida Tropical, 0–0 at Fort Lauderdale United FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 65% / draw 21% / loss 14%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:15 PM at Bamford Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    SWFL PREMIER FC sit 4th on 1.56 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above SWFL PREMIER FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Davie United SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Davie United SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.64 PPG
4th▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 2 5th— holds
Win
1.64 PPG
4th▲ up 1 3rd▲ up 2 5th— holds
Draw
1.45 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
1.36 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–0 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
85% top 4
15% below the top 4
3.6 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 55%
  4. 4th 27%
  5. 5th 12%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.17 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Strikers Miami FC 2.50 (+1.00) 1st (2.38) 30 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 AC Florida Tropical 2.29 (+0.79) 2nd (2.26) 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Athletic Club Florida 1.67 (+0.17) 4th (1.56) 16 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
4 SWFL PREMIER FC 1.56 (+0.06) 5th (1.50) A point next game

How the results connect

49 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Davie United SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

37 favour us
3 even
9 favour them
+2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–0 1–1 2–3 0–0 2–1 1–1 2–1 2–1 2–0 1–0 0–0 5–0 1–2 2–2 1–0 2–0 0–2 Parkland Soccer Club 5th SWFL PREMIER FC 4th Doral Soccer Club 6th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 7th Cape Coral SA 8th Athletic Club Flori… 3rd AC Florida Tropical 2nd Strikers Miami FC 1st Davie United SC 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 10th Aug 23 Sep 12 Sep 27 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.37 · 10th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:15 PM
Davie United SC
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Away far trip
Bamford Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
1–0 2.16 1.56 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
11:45 AM
AC Florida Tropical
2nd · 5-1-1 · GD +12
Away far trip
Tropical Park
●●●●● Very tough
19%
0–1 0.87 1.50 Upside
Sat Mar 6
01:30 PM
Davie United SC
9th · 1-1-4 · GD -7
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–0 2.35 1.57 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
01:00 PM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
7th · 3-1-5 · GD -12
Home
Terramar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
2–0 2.45 1.63 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
01:00 PM
Cape Coral SA
8th · 2-0-6 · GD -3
Away far trip
Cape Coral Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
1–0 1.85 1.65 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM
SWFL PREMIER FC
4th · 4-2-3 · GD +2
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.62 1.64 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
3rd · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Away
North Community Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.59 1.64 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
01:30 PM
Wellington SC
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -16
Home
Terramar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
3–0 2.70 1.70 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Strikers Miami FC 8620 195+14 202.50 WWWWW -0.07 -0.28 100% 1.4
2 AC Florida Tropical 7511 142+12 162.29 WWDWW +0.01 -0.26 100% 1.7
3 Athletic Club Florida 6312 108+2 101.67 WLLWW -0.27 +0.05 52% 4.5
4 SWFL PREMIER FC 9423 1311+2 141.56 WLWLL +0.01 -0.03 42% 4.7
5 Parkland Soccer Club 10361 168+8 151.50 DDWDL +0.11 -0.37 85% 3.6
6 Doral Soccer Club 7223 88+0 81.14 LWLDW +0.06 -0.10 20% 5.6
7 Fort Lauderdale United FC 9315 719-12 101.11 LLDLL +0.12 +0.09 0% 8.0
8 Cape Coral SA 8206 912-3 60.75 WLLLL +0.02 +0.03 2% 7.3
9 Davie United SC 6114 512-7 40.67 DLLWL +0.10 +0.07 0% 8.5
10 Wellington SC 6105 622-16 30.50 LLWLL +0.19 +0.17 0% 9.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.43 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.